Browse Stacks: Business: Interest Rates
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Words are necessary here. Deflation. That is a word. Inflation. that is another words. Remember it because it's no...
1
Contra Corner WTF! - David Stockman's Contra Corner
slopechart_FR:DGS30.jpg
30 year treasury yield tries to get back in line
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Yikes, check out the Japan 10yr yield. Folks, global deflation is probably not the play after this acute scare.
tyx
Powell the effing dove was in the bag even before COVID-19, it's just that he's on steroids now.
yield curve
Why I do believe we are witnessing a baby yield curve steepener...
bfm349A_0.jpg (976×504)
Broad credit markets are utter carnage... especially in Investment-Grade...
bfm5670_0.jpg (976×539)
The market is demanding almost 100bps of rate-cuts by The Fed by next week...
2
tyx
NIRP here we come!
slopechart_VTI/TLT.jpg
Stocks vs. Bonds
1
cme fed funds futures
Fed Funds futures...
fed funds rate
Fed Funds and the Business Cycle...
fed funds and financial crises
Fed Funds and historical crises...
fed funds rate
Fed Funds Rate...
cme fomc
Now a 100% chance of a .5% Corona-cut coming at or before the March 18 FOMC meeting.
bfmCFC2.jpg (976×422)
The Entire Treasury Yield Curve Is 'Inverted'
fomc
CME Group futures wise guys predict 100% rate cut change at or before March FOMC meeting. 27% predict .5%
yield curve
10/2 yield curve ticks back toward steepening.
1
yield curve
Yield curve flattening again. I don't expect the stock market to crack hard until it re-steepens. Then it could be...
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed is out of its comfort box on the downside as it was on the upside in late 2018.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
Yield-VariousYields-To-10yr-Rate-011120.png (1095×673)
spx and yield curve
Last summer the media got the public puking about the inverted yield curve. They puked the market too. Now, the MS...
2
auto loan interest rates.jpg (941×605)
credit cards rates.jpg (941×671)
yields-4-pack-all-testing-long-term-support-sept-10.jpg (1887×912)
1
10-Year-Yield-Comparison.png (1280×853)
Interest-Rates-Japan-080719 (1).png (917×483)
joe-friday-yields-and-banks-testing-7-year-support-aug-30.jpg (1...
bfmA1E6.jpg (909×507)
1
inxg.jpg
TSI on UK index-linked gilts (the inflation play) looks a bit boring. Nice chart though.
2
1 Aug15.PNG
3
Fed vs S&P MS.jpg (788×464)
Crescat-Fed-Funds-Rate-Cuts-072919.png (768×463)
rates_2.png (768×424)
Corporate-Debt-GDP-Fed_2.png (840×448)
bfm780E.jpg (976×509)
bfm66D1.jpg (976×511)
bfm776D.jpg (976×510)
New Home Sales Miss As Mortgage Rate Collapse Fails To Bring Buyers Back
8
10-year...
joe-friday-yields-decline-35-percent-in-35-weeks-june-21.jpg (10...
2
img04-1-768x454.png (768×454)
10-year...
2
2019-06-18_6-30-35.jpg (677×460)
3
bond yields ex US.jpg (980×571)
10-year-yields-declined-35-percent-testing-support-with-bulls-hard-...
Yield-Curve-Inversions-SP500-2019-060719.png (835×519)
bfm17E2.jpg (976×486)
slopechart_JNK.jpg
Yield hogs gobbling up junk in anticipation of much lower interest rates ahead?
bfm9A6_0.jpg (976×512)
Treasury yields have plunged at the mid to long end of the yield curve producing biggest recession warning yet.
bfm936A_1.jpg (976×510)
Inversion!
bfm417B.jpg (1280×661)
Good GOD
slopechart_$SPX/FR:DGS30.jpg
M.I.C.E. with 30-year yield - testing all-time highs
slopechart_TIP/IEF.jpg
The Fed might look at this and see no inflation - so they start cutting again (sooner rather than later)
slopechart_($SPX/FR:DGS10).jpg
slopechart_FR:USDONTD156N.jpg
globalrates.jpg (750×473)
Interest rates haven't been this low in 5,000 years
slopechart_TLT/GLD.jpg
Cui Bono?
TSY curve 3.25.jpg (1050×485)
The inverted yield curve looks exactly like the Nike logo!
2
2019-03-01_5-11-01.jpg (890×463)
2019-02-27_5-47-38.jpg (890×464)
Recession Signal Getting Louder: 5-Year Yield Inverts With 3-Month Yield
2
Yield-Curve-10-2-021119 (1).png (890×462)
2 feb18.PNG
1
9 feb17.PNG
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Nice fit since the taper tantrum / end of Operation Twist
1
slopechart_SHV.jpg
Fear Factor?
3
slopechart_HCP.jpg
Yield hogs beware
slopechart_JNK.jpg
Junk also tapping new highs - non-confirming OBV
slopechart_BND.jpg
Tapping new highs - confirming OBV
10-year...
slopechart_BND.jpg
No more rate increases as far as the eye can see...
1
SPXM-5.png (1200×887)
slopechart_SHY.jpg
The Face of Fear
Is This Risk ‘Off’ Enough for Formerly Greedy Bulls? – Not...
So, the Continuum holds again. Fed was not going to let it get away. Will TYX find a low soon?
1
FOMC at Center Stage (NFTRH 530 excerpt) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum back below the limiter and all is right with the world. Bond bears BANISHED. BBB...
slopechart_TMV.jpg
Triple treasury bear
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... The Continuum back below the limiter...
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... herds running risk 'off' drives yields down, bonds up.
1
slopechart_BND.jpg
Flight to Quantity
zig-yield-spread.png (977×473)
1
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...
Don't look now but 30yr yield has failed back below the limiter. Either inflationary or deflationary steepening co...
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...
Yield curve all over the news... DOOOOM!!! But it has not yet begun to steepen. Look elsewhere for doom right now...
slopechart_XLRE.jpg
REITs looking good if (when) interest rates fall back down?
joe-friday-5-year-yields-bearis-doji-start-topping-pattern-at-20-ye...
inverted-yields-testing-multi-decade-support-nov-25-7.jpg (1569×734)
-1x-1.png (890×501)
2018-11-21_7-12-40.jpg (816×506)
zp2r3ijmw2z11.png (1433×783)
libor euribor.jpg (744×484)
US-mortgage-rates-MBA-2001-2018_11.png (518×372)
US-mortgage-rates-MBA-2009_2018_11.png (522×365)
1
FedFundsRate_0.png (890×552)
1
2-year-yield-up-1125-percent-in-5-years-testing-18-year-resistance-...
3
2018-11-10_7-02-46.png (872×466)
1
A Brief Look at Earnings Season and a Measure of SPX Over Valuation...
Picture of SPX over valuation. SPX dividend yield of 1.92% vs. 10yr T note yielding 3.2%!
joe-friday-2-year-yields-hitting-37-year-resitance-as-yields-and-st...
yield curve
Market bulls should be wary of the yield curve's slow grind this time as opposed to Feb's big spike (which was a b...
real rates start to bite.jpg (890×474)
2
2-year-yield-and-dow-testing-multi-decade-resistance-lines-oct-5.j...