Browse Stacks: Business: Interest Rates
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The Short-end of the curve was the hardest hit, with 2Y rising 220bps in H1 and 30Y up 123bps...
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Inflation-Adjusted 15-Year Mortgage Rate, 2010-2022
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Inflation-Adjusted Federal Funds Rate, 1954-2022
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Median Home Sales Price Versus 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 1980-2022
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Inflation-Adjusted (Real) Yield On 10-Year US Treasury Not, 1987-2022
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Today was the second biggest yield jump for 2Y yields since June 2009...
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The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Continuum... do or die baby! Do or die...
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Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Why is the Fed so aggressively out hawking in the media? Because, this... (they're behind the curve).
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
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Gold and inflation | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
You know, there are times when it's good to have gold for inflation. Just not as often as perma-bugs think. But if...
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According to the Taylor rule, interest rates are TEN PERCENT TOO LOW right now! (1,000 basis points)
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Yields look ready to plunge.......
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Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
2 year treasury yield
Can't really put enough words in this blurb to explain, but if you want to check the link associated w/ the chart...
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tyx
Implications of rising long-term yields?
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7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF breakdown today
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slopechart_IEF.jpg
Glad I held on to my IEF puts yesterday, although they hit my stop loss level.
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Negative real rates
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Short term T-Bond fund (7-10 yrs)
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Bonds vs small caps
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Every 0.1% Increase In The Discount Rate Equates To a 4% Decline In Stocks
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Is next phase inflationary or deflationary? The inverted right side shoulder or lack thereof will tell.
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Inflation-Adjusted Yield On 10–Year UST, 2016-2021
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yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
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Real 10–Year US Treasury Yield, 1985-2021
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tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
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Inflation-Adjusted 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate, 1991-2021
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Inflation-Adjusted Junk Bond Yield, 1990-2021
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US Sells Treasury Bills At 0% For The First Time Since The Covid Crash
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Because that yield on the 10Y is decisively above the S&P's dividend yield, and where according to BofA “there i...
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30 year treasury yield
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
5 year inflation rate
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
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Traders are really, really, REALLY short bonds right now.
yield curve
If you're gonna get the markets right you gotta get the macro right. Here's one such macro map needed.
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Inflation protected U.S. Treasury bonds hit a new high
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file
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Install Bookmarklet — Slope of Hope
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Utilities Index tap 38% retracement and might pop higher in the never-ending quest for yield.
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U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar. Target around 131.
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For The First Time Ever, Futures Price "Fatal" Negative US Rates Starting Dec 2020
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Headfake?
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All Systems Go?
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10 year Treasury constant maturity rate. Trouble has been brewing for a while now.
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Gold Miners ETF Volatility
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30 year mouse. If (when) the yield on the 30 year bond goes to zero, then this calculation becomes undefined.
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Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Words are necessary here. Deflation. That is a word. Inflation. that is another words. Remember it because it's no...
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Contra Corner WTF! - David Stockman's Contra Corner
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30 year treasury yield tries to get back in line
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Yikes, check out the Japan 10yr yield. Folks, global deflation is probably not the play after this acute scare.
tyx
Powell the effing dove was in the bag even before COVID-19, it's just that he's on steroids now.
yield curve
Why I do believe we are witnessing a baby yield curve steepener...
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Broad credit markets are utter carnage... especially in Investment-Grade...
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The market is demanding almost 100bps of rate-cuts by The Fed by next week...
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tyx
NIRP here we come!
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Stocks vs. Bonds
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cme fed funds futures
Fed Funds futures...
fed funds rate
Fed Funds and the Business Cycle...
fed funds and financial crises
Fed Funds and historical crises...
fed funds rate
Fed Funds Rate...
cme fomc
Now a 100% chance of a .5% Corona-cut coming at or before the March 18 FOMC meeting.
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The Entire Treasury Yield Curve Is 'Inverted'
fomc
CME Group futures wise guys predict 100% rate cut change at or before March FOMC meeting. 27% predict .5%
yield curve
10/2 yield curve ticks back toward steepening.
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yield curve
Yield curve flattening again. I don't expect the stock market to crack hard until it re-steepens. Then it could be...
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed is out of its comfort box on the downside as it was on the upside in late 2018.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
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spx and yield curve
Last summer the media got the public puking about the inverted yield curve. They puked the market too. Now, the MS...
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