Browse Stacks: Business: Interest Rates
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Fed Chair Powell's favorite yield-curve-based recession-signal continues to plumb new depths of inversion...
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99% of borrowers have a mortgage rate lower than the current market rate
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are they sweating yet?
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Finally, for some context as to how massively the market has shifted its perception about The Fed's rate trajector...
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The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
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Taylor Rule suggests rates should be at..........10.2%
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The gap between base rates and earnings yields has closed - no more TINA.
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The 6mth T-Bill breaches 5% for 1st time since 2007.
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When was last time you could earn 5% in a 1-Year Treasury Bill? July 23, 2007.
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The gap between SPX and the 10 year (inverted) stays very wide.
2 year treasury note yield
2yr yield ticks a higher high to the last high, and Stagflation has to be brought back into the discussion (linked p...
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
2 year Treasury bond yield
When the 2yr Treasury yield breaks down we're gonna be in for some excitement, probably bullish initially and then...
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Negative-yielding debt has gone from almost TWENTY TRILLION down to NOTHING!!!!
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2y10y curve closed at the most inverted level in 40 years last night
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6 Month Treasury Yield
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Message from KimDotCom. With a name beginning with Kim shouldn't he be CEO of North Korea or somewhere like that?
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The Fed’s fund rate has climbed 300bp in 12M, leading to extreme moves across markets. In particular, the third...
The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming | ZeroHedge
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According to CBO’s projections, interest payments would total around $66 trillion over the next 30 years and wou...
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Inflation-Adjusted 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 1979-1985
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Inflation-Adjusted 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 2000-2022
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Contra Corner Why Today's Inflation Challenge Would Have Flummox...
Real Yield In 10-Year UST, 1979-2022
30yr on the way to 2.5%? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield headed to 2.5% (monthly chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
30 year treasury bond yield
30 year yield headed to 2.5% (daily chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
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Inflation-Adjusted Fed Funds Rate, 2008-2022
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3M10Y spread is collapsing...
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Yield curve (2s10s) tumbling to its most inverted since 2007...
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The Short-end of the curve was the hardest hit, with 2Y rising 220bps in H1 and 30Y up 123bps...
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Inflation-Adjusted 15-Year Mortgage Rate, 2010-2022
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Inflation-Adjusted Federal Funds Rate, 1954-2022
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Median Home Sales Price Versus 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 1980-2022
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Inflation-Adjusted (Real) Yield On 10-Year US Treasury Not, 1987-2022
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Today was the second biggest yield jump for 2Y yields since June 2009...
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The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Continuum... do or die baby! Do or die...
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Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Why is the Fed so aggressively out hawking in the media? Because, this... (they're behind the curve).
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
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Gold and inflation | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
You know, there are times when it's good to have gold for inflation. Just not as often as perma-bugs think. But if...
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According to the Taylor rule, interest rates are TEN PERCENT TOO LOW right now! (1,000 basis points)
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Yields look ready to plunge.......
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Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
2 year treasury yield
Can't really put enough words in this blurb to explain, but if you want to check the link associated w/ the chart...
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tyx
Implications of rising long-term yields?
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7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF breakdown today
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Glad I held on to my IEF puts yesterday, although they hit my stop loss level.
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Negative real rates
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Short term T-Bond fund (7-10 yrs)
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Bonds vs small caps
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Every 0.1% Increase In The Discount Rate Equates To a 4% Decline In Stocks
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Is next phase inflationary or deflationary? The inverted right side shoulder or lack thereof will tell.
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Inflation-Adjusted Yield On 10–Year UST, 2016-2021
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yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
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Real 10–Year US Treasury Yield, 1985-2021
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tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
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Inflation-Adjusted 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate, 1991-2021
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Inflation-Adjusted Junk Bond Yield, 1990-2021
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US Sells Treasury Bills At 0% For The First Time Since The Covid Crash
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Because that yield on the 10Y is decisively above the S&P's dividend yield, and where according to BofA “there i...
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30 year treasury yield
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
5 year inflation rate
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
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Traders are really, really, REALLY short bonds right now.
yield curve
If you're gonna get the markets right you gotta get the macro right. Here's one such macro map needed.
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Inflation protected U.S. Treasury bonds hit a new high
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Install Bookmarklet — Slope of Hope
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Utilities Index tap 38% retracement and might pop higher in the never-ending quest for yield.
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