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Government
: Fed Reserve
weaker labor markets.jpg (686×405)
Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
1
bfm3CFA.jpg (954×612)
Fed Chair Powell's favorite yield-curve-based recession-signal continues to plumb new depths of inversion...
bfm4F5C_2.jpg (1030×585)
1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
opened above the trendline
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
The tardy Fed and the new macro | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here on Fed day, behold distortion #2 (there are others)...
The tardy Fed and the new macro | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here on FOMC day, behold distortion #1...
1
cm54rkx5708a1.jpg (640×423)
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
1
worst 90 mins ever.jpg (851×604)
It Was The Worst Final 90 Minutes To A Fed Day In History
1
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1
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
1
stfp7s1xolw91.jpg (499×504)
2
2022-10-26_06-11-16.jpg (940×573)
Will The S&P 500 Hit 2,900 By The End Of The Fed's Tightening Cycle?
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
CME Group now up to nearly 73% forecast of +.75% on Nov. 2nd.
1
The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming | ZeroHedge
2
2022-08-13_03-23-11.jpg (789×461)
3
tzvhpz93x5e91.png (640×553)
2
fredgraph.png (700×716)
Fed Balance Sheet Versus Monthly Deficit in Goods, 1995-2021
1
2022-05-10.png (1280×630)
3
Eggheads tardy in doing the right thing – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Finally the Fed is set to get off its ass months after the market signaled it to do so.
Fed funds vs CPI_1.jpg (1267×668)
2
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Inflation-Adjusted (Real) Yield On 10-Year US Treasury Not, 1987-2022
2
gqvz6kr95eq81.jpg (640×780)
2
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Fed is dovish by definition of its gap with the 3 mo. T-bill yield.
1
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Dovish Fed probably does not want to see stocks break down. The others in this chart? Screw 'em. But they may flip...
es post fed.jpg (1280×698)
Insane. I have no words.
5
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Purchasing Power Of The Dollar Since Jerome Powell Joined The Fed In May 2012
3
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Why is the Fed so aggressively out hawking in the media? Because, this... (they're behind the curve).
FLQQo8kXwAMYS6D (680×674)
Pepperidge Farms remembers.....
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
(Manual) TLT Fib projection onto the Dec high, target 120
h9gl4eit93e81.jpg (640×476)
“The Fed is likely…” | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
No hike today, but it's highly doubtful the market correction will bump the Fed off of a hike in March.
1
2772f8jorpc81.jpg (640×457)
2022-01-13_12-19-02.jpg (1035×563)
According to the Taylor rule, interest rates are TEN PERCENT TOO LOW right now! (1,000 basis points)
2021-12-14_05-31-55.jpg (1010×620)
US Producer Prices Explode To Record High In November
slopechart_IEF.jpg
7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF breakdown today
1
reiv5z4907181.jpg (640×360)
slopechart_GOOGL.jpg
GOOGL 3x from March '20 low. SPY went 2.2x
Fed-BalanceSheet-SP500-101821 (1).png (964×563)
slopechart_HDGE.jpg
-93% in 10 years
3
slopechart_IEF.jpg
Glad I held on to my IEF puts yesterday, although they hit my stop loss level.
owf6n3srlny71.jpg (1080×937)
2
slopechart_IEF.jpg
Short term T-Bond fund (7-10 yrs)
slopechart_IWM,TLT.jpg
Bonds vs small caps
slopechart_TLT.jpg
STFB to the 21 EMA
SP500-Fed-Balance-Contraction-Only-092321.png (967×564)
rev repo 9.23.jpg (1182×615)
Fed Reverse Repo Soars To Record $1.35 Trillion After Fed Doubles Counteparty Limit
2
CUM BUDGET DEFICIT SEPT 2021.jpg (1280×807)
1
tapering nov 2011.jpg (1015×624)
2
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bfmFEAB_0.jpg (966×530)
QE ain't f**king doing anything for the real economy...
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Forthcoming U.S. deficit, interest - holy crap
2
bfm5A9B_0.jpg (971×564)
And bear in mind the post-FOMC pump pattern...
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Real GDP Growth Versus Fed Balance Sheet Growth, 1951-1962
1
moneytracker.jpg (1280×947)
fredgraph.png (700×868)
Outstanding Fed Cash Borrowings Under Its O/N RRP Facility, March-July 2021
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Cumulative Change in Fed Balance Sheet Versus CPI, 1995-2021
2021-07-07_12-22-40.jpg (1280×767)
Here we see the collusion between Powell, Yellen, and Biden and what happened with the markets ever since.
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Total US Public And Private Debt Outstanding Versus Nominal GDP, 1970-2021
1
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Fed Balance Sheet Versus Nominal GDP, 2003-2021
1
ON repoc.jpg (1205×657)
Overnight REPO from the good people at the Fed
3
bfm734E.jpg (984×521)
ON RRP 5.20.jpg (1055×573)
Fed's Reverse Repo Usage Soars To $351BN, Fifth Highest Ever
1
Fed-Profit-Comparison-032821.png (852×562)
Fed-Funds-GDP-Growth-Rate-2yr-051321-1024x601.png (1024×601)
cumulative deficit april 2021.jpg (1280×807)
US Spends 90% More Than It Collects In First 7 Months Of Fiscal 2021
An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflationary boom is cost-PUSHING Stagflation into the economy after Fed's reaction to COVID-19.
cumulative receipts March 2021.jpg (1280×807)
What a pathetic joke of a country we've become.
1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
I was curious just how much the markets had gone up in the last year and I wanted a review of the U.S. Government'...
M2-money-velocity3-21a (1).png (500×426)
4
fredgraph.png (1168×820)
Year-Over-Year Increase in the Fed’s Balance Sheet
2
slopechart_LQD.jpg
LQD has been in a pretty tight range for the last few months, and it made a near perfect lower high the other day....
central bank BS_9.jpg (1157×1133)
2
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2
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1
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Oh GAWD. Kill me now.
2
currency circulation.jpg (1164×645)
SP500-FedBalance-Sheet_0.png (630×354)
excess deposits vs Fed BS.jpg (1280×751)
2
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Tick-for-Tick
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Central Bank Balance Sheets To Hit $28 Trillion Next Year
2
slopechart_TIP.jpg
Here's a TIP, there is no inflation, right?
1
Fed 13.3 7.23.jpg (1161×635)
1
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fredgraph.png (950×720)
2
budget deficit 7.8.jpg (1280×806)
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total budget deficit 7.8.jpg (1019×587)
US Budget Deficit Hits A Record $863 Billion In June, A 100X Increase
2
slopechart_TIP.jpg
Inflation protected U.S. Treasury bonds hit a new high
1
slopechart_FR:RAILFRTCARLOADS.jpg
Rail Freight Carloads (non-seasonally adjusted) fell off a cliff as of April 1, 2020.
1
fed BS vs TSY debt.jpg (1280×793)
3
bfm215.jpg (907×506)
Vomit.
3
who owns central banks_0.png (973×683)
sv2-1024x621.png (1024×621)
fed etf purchases.png (1123×385)
As the Federal Reserve buys up shit like "Fallen Angel High Yield Bond" ETFs, for fuck's sake.
1
slopechart_XLF/SPY.jpg
Financials as a fraction of the S&P 500. Brutal stuff. Special thanks to Mr. Dubious.
3
slopechart_BRK.B.jpg
Grandpa Munster is probably toast. Apologies to Bill Maher and Senator John McCain.
3