User: Tim Knight: Historical Example
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As of today, this is the largest, and longest, bull market in human history.
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We are in the longest business expansion in history
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Fall, retrace, then plunge: 1974
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Doom-Porn from Atilla
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2007 and 2018
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Longest bull run in history
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The Stock Market's Latest Sell Signal Has Happened Only 5 Previous Times Since 1895
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Longest bull market in human history.
Fuck. Me.
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This is the worst year-to-date divergence between Dow/Nasdaq since 2009...
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Tech stocks analog
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Sector dominance in the market
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The only time the tech sector has been more valuable than this, relative to the financials, was at the very peak o...
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One of my favorite analogs of all time.
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Comparing the present bubble to past ones
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Inflation Since 1872
Monthly inflation over centuries
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The last time SMART money and the market diverged this much did not end well for stocks...
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We are in the second longest bull market in history
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Asset bubbles over the past 40 years
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Debt/GDP ratio (and this is based on a hugely OPTIMISTIC forecast by the geniuses in the Fed Govt)
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Biggest bull markets of all time
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joe-friday-dow-at-top-of-70-year-channel-momentum-seldom-seen-march...
Similarities to 1929, 1987, 2000 & 2007 in play
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Interest rate history
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Mnuchin has fallen in line behind his boss and repeatedly asserted that the US would make up for lost tax revenue...
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"Every market crash has been preceded by Fed tightening."
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1929 Throwover Top
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Stock Market Optimism Hits Highest Level Since Crash Of 1987
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Big Round Numbers and the Dow
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As it stands it’s been around 80 days now there hasn’t been an either 1% up or down move on the $SPX. 5% pullback...
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However in this case markets have been subject to unprecedented volatility compression. Never has a year or quarte...
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Assets to GDP - yet another extreme never before seen in the history of the universe
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The brilliant 2008 forecasts from the "experts", including the hideously ugly Abby Joseph Cohen.
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This is "unusual... Must Watch"
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Fascinating
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The Global FInancial Crisis bubble
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Unless the world comes to a very serious end overnight, global equity markets are about to do something they have...
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Contra Corner » Chart of the Day: Look Out Below!
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A surprising perspective
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A beautiful analog...........
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first 12 month period in the history of the S&P 500 without a 3% drawdown. The VIX is also the lowest on record us...
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No 52-week high in the Nasdaq 100 has ever been accompanied by as few advancing stocks as today’s.
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On this measure, market valuations are now more extreme than at any point in history, including the 1929 and 2000...
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The chart below shows the median price/revenue ratio of S&P 500 component stocks, which set yet another record hig...
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We have now recorded 334 days without a 5% or more pullback (and 335 after today's close), the fourth longest peri...
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It has now been 242 days since the US equity market dipped by 3% or more... That has never, ever, happened before..
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As I have shown previously, these late stage “melt-ups” are not uncommon. In fact, as shown below, it is somethin...
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The chart below shows the 1000-point milestones of the Dow going back to 2009. After a long break between 18,000 a...
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The S&P 500 Is Now Overvalued On 18 Of 20 Metrics
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As StockBoardAsset shows on the 24-year monthly ratio chart below, bulls have pushed the S&P:VIX price into uncharted...
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The Dow has hit 31 all-time highs in 2017 and has done so with no more than a 3% pullback.
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The S&P 500 has not seen a drawdown of more than 3% since the election last November. As PensionPartners' Charlie...
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My favorite analog right now...........
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Crash of 1929 - this is what I keep hidden under my mattress.
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The stock market is near peak euphoria here (tracked by the ratio of Fwd P/E to VIX)...
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A long view of the psychology of the markets
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Historically speaking, such levels of exuberance have tended to have poor outcomes for investors who did not reali...
Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Bullish About Small-Cap Stocks...
Over 57,000 Russell 2000 e-mini contract longs were added in the last two weeks - the most since July 2008 - leavi...
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Notably, the US Macro Surprise Index has dropped for 13 straight weeks (since The Fed hiked in March) - this is th...
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Below looks at the Stock/Bond ratio (SPX/ZROZ), using the two assets from above. The ratio in our humble opinion,...
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The last time US Macro and stocks decoupled like this was in mid 2015 and did not end well for stocks...
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'Reputable' Investing Newsletter To Millennials: "If You Do Not Have 100% In Equities, You Are Crazy"
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It was 50 stocks back then, just add a “0” today and make it the nifty 500? S&P 500 Long-Term “Weekly” Chart
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The transports are a key cog in our economy, so they also tend to be a key indicator for stocks historically.
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Stock-To-Bond Ratio Back At 2007 Peak
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The Last Time Americans Felt This Good About Stocks, The Dot Com Bubble Burst 2 Months Later
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Durable Goods Orders have gone nowhere for five years...
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Transports; Could be repeating 1999 & 2007 pattern
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Household Wealth Has Never Been Higher Relative To Income
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Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective - dshort - Advisor Pers...
Last year was a remarkable one for yields. The 10-year note hit its historic closing low of 1.37% in July and then...
djia
Amazing long-term view of stock uptrend and channel
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Market recoveries and declines measured in time
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Third major instance of a very bearish setup in Dow Transports
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What is perhaps more immediately worrying is the seasonal tendency for a post-fiscal-year surge in Economic data f...
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And worse still, Barack Obama is the only president in US history to never have a year of economic growth over 3.0%...
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Until recently. As the next chart shows, we are now 11.2 months removed from the bottom of the last correction. Wh...
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Reagan and Trump
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Bubble three
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TLT/SPY is awfully similar (umm, identical) to 2007
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Junk bond divergence
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PE levels back to 1929
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Houses NEVER more expensive
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Presently, the median stock in the S&P 500 is more overvalued than at any point in U.S. history, easily exceeding...
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Bubbles bubbles
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Empires past
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Male labor force participation
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VIX is unprecedentedly low for an election year
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Corporate profit plunge
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Equities are actually considered safer than bonds now. Freaky.
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Topping pattern on the NASDAQ
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