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Debt limit hit the ceiling. That means reduced Treasury supply until the debt ceiling is raised. That is bullish f...
GOLD to SPX. there is some similarity
M1* YoY% change has extended decline in January. China economy is going to burst. *M1 is most approapriate to m...
TLT in accumulation.
Monthly breakout. Now in backtesting.
dodji candle with high volume on monthly chart of DJIA
Gold is cheap, but not as cheap as of 2001
not as overbought as last 2 times. Sizeable correction is possible not crash
Fundamentals still looks bearish for gold. This rally must be sold.
wedge breakout on monthly chart
Dumb to smart money is about to generate bullish signal
Market is too optimistic. Sizeable downside correction is very likely in coming months.
Austrian school of economics true money supply for USA (Treasury account excluded). Looks like money supply gro...
Austrian school of economics true money supply for USA (Treasury account included). Very interesting developmen...
As Austrian school of economis says the main reason for boom/burst circle is credit expansion/contraction. Recent...
money flow to oil futures market
GOLD COT. looks like most speculators have gone.
still in wedge
Austrian school of economic true-money-supply growth rate. Do you anticipate more QE from the FED? I guees new mon...
M1 is steady declining. This is not going to end well. More troubles is ahead for Europe
someone is wrong. may be USD must go down, may be SPX must go down or STOXX600 must go up
looks bearish for oil
"I TOLD YOU SO" moment :)
looks bearish for gold
SPX looks weak
$59 billion surge during last week. Treasury aggressively raise cash level. Why? There is answer. Quote from TBAC...
Chinese money supply growth rate has started to decline. It may cause economic burst around the world.
General treasury account. $420 billion!!! Very, very dangeries level. Are they accomulating cash for risk management...
OMG! This is bearish for commodities.
speculator's long positions is in highest level from 2014. Looks bearish.
COT has drop to May level.
Treasury account has increased to danger level. If they don't give this money back to market soon then some stock...
waiting to buy for long term investment
Good oportunity to buy is coming soon
I guess correction is not over
Still waiting stock market crash? Money supply growth rate looks bullish so far this year.
bulls have a ball
OIL has broken resistance. Test of this year minimum is not on radar now.
Still in wedge
USD is still in 2 bull flags. Still looks bullish.
I need see China money supply growth rate be declining to be sure that sizable stockmarket decline is coming... i...
week has closed at support
Wedge has been broken down, but this is monthly chart, mean nothing yet untill month ends.
Silver, Monthly. Price is in red bull flag. 21.20 is a key resistance.
still looks bullish
looks like GDX is going to 24.14 (0.382 fib level)
still in little and big bull flags
august ended at resistance, it make possibility of this year bottom test a little more likely in next 6 - 8 months
NG is testing broken long run support line
I guess copper is in bottoming process, but may be it is bear flag.
testing resistance. where month ends?
Looks bullish for usdcnh. That is bearish for commodities.
Support line is broken. Looks like correction has started. Good opportunity to buy is coming.
Looks bullish. Gold is going to test red line resistance in coming months.
looks like GDX is going to test neck line
Bulls Still Have The Ball
sell some gold buy some oil
still in a little bull flag and in a big bull flag
I don't say gold is not in bull market. Just keep in mind there is bear case. The difference between now and 1982...
USA, Euro area, China money supply growth rate. They stimulate one by one. The next economic burst will happen wh...
Smart money to dumb money ratio is about to generate short term bearish signal
Chinese money supply growth rate is running to up. I think this is one of major reasons of commodity rally of this...
Great trio has changed their course
correction is started
bear flag vs. bull inverse H&S. Who will win?
long way ahead
Bears still have a chance
Bears still have a chance
I don't say gold can't go higher. But there is something to worry about.
from 0 to 100%. Time to take some money off the table
Sizeble decline in longs without real damage for USD. Looks bullish. (free chart from sharelynx.com)
This is free chart from www.sharelynx.com It represent COT data for GOLD. IF gold is in bull trend then horizont...
As I recently said there is correlation between $SPX and inverted Treasury account (someone sell stocks to pay Tax...
Looks like Gold have done false start this year. Too many opened long positions by short term speculators acording...
June 20, 21, 22 is a days of big treasury auctions. It might hit market again like auctions of June 7, 8, 9 did. T...
June 20, 21, 22 is a days of big treasury auctions. It might hit market again like auctions of June 7, 8, 9 did....
I guess China's money supply growth rate has been significant driver of commodity demand recent months. Looks like...
I have studied Treasury financing schedule (debt issuance and redemtion) which is available at treasury.gov. Q2 wa...
There is correlation between USD Index and Treasury account. To buy t-bills, t-notes or t-bonds one must buy US do...
There is correlation between CNYUSD and Crude Oil. As I said in previous post CNYUSD correlate with Treasury Accou...
There is correlation between USDCNY and U.S. Treasury Account. Every time Treasury issue new debt (t-bills, t-note...
Recently I said that Monetary base is acting as leading indicator for Stock Market Indexes. Now I found that there...
This is chart of growth rate of TRUE MONEY SUPPLY (TMS, austrian school of economics). Money supply growth change...
very suspicious rally
Wilshire5000 / Retail sales. Monetary Easy is coming. Gold miner's stocks correction will be excelent apportunity...
Carnage is coming back this summer.
I am short on iwm
100 week MA tag then rebound is coming
Monetary base is a leading indicator. It doesn't confirm recent rally yet.
USD rally ahead?
Does anybody have idea why $SPX:$STOXX600 and $USD has correlation?