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On Wednesday night, after some seriously wild action had settled down a bit after hours, I made some educated guesses in my trading room about what ES/SPX might do over the next few days. Some of these I also talked about on twitter t...

The Shadow of 1987 | Slope of Hope

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SHJ 5/7/14 targets SPX,DOW,NDX

Four Grumpy Bears | Slope of Hope#more-32780

SHJ 5/7/14 targets SPX,DOW,NDX

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Springheel Jack 5/5

Slope of Hope | Technical Analysis, ProphetCharts, and Bear Markets

Springheel Jack 5/5

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The Three Bears | Slope of Hope#more-32484

4/28 shj

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140428 SPX Daily Testing Mid Band and 50 DMA

140428 SPX Daily Testing Mid Band and 50 DMA

springheeljack

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A Sloper Helps Explain VIX | Slope of Hope#more-31868

vix and vxx

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One Position in Particular | Slope of Hope

options,Tim

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0219-GLD

0219-GLD

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Tagging Fellow Slopers | Slope of Hope

Tim

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Hi to everyone, this is something new on Slope of Hope (unless you have been following this blog since inception…).Retracement Levels Ltd. publishes Quantitative Market Analysis like this for the SPX index since 2008, roughly 1600 d...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Before we publish the ES Quantitative Analysis for today, a couple of clarifications:1) the Analysis product presented here is NOT a trading system, in other words we simply use our quantitative metrics to analyze the chances (odds) f...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Note: to complete the transition from “TA” mindset to “quant trading” mindset, we have completely removed the charts from our published market research. The focus now is exclusively directed on price levels and their probabilisti...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing 0% odds to GO LONG. On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1734, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1822.50% 26.09% odds – First valid level to go LONG...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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All right, a couple of notes before we begin the ES analysis for today:1) someone pointed out that a Stop Loss at 1734 is very far away, adding that no one sane in his mind would take 100 points in his face like that. First of all, th...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing 0% odds to GO LONG.On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1723, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1816.75, 26.09% odds -? First valid level to go LONG f...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Note: when a gauge shows 0% daily odds it means the price is already moving in that direction. We gauge the ODDS to have a TREND REVERSAL, so if the market is going up the odds to have a LONG trend reversal are ZERO% because it is alr...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing coin flip odds to GO LONG.On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1741.50, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1826.75, 28.98% odds -? First valid level to...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Notes:1) We know that our analysis is completely different from anything seen before and also it is hard to swallow for die-hard technical chartists, so we want to thank you all for your continued interest and support.2) We have tried...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Here is a question that we have often heard in regard to our approach to market analysis:“You never mention the news. Don’t you think the news affect market behavior?”It is a legitimate question, and the answer is: “Our model alr...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Hi, today we are unfortunately able to post the entire analysis, but here is a brief mini post with one screenshot and some comments:- the index yesterday tanked and reached price levels with good odds to go LONG: if you went LONG and...

ES Quantitative Analysis – Mini Post | Slope of Hope

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When we started to post our analysis a few days ago, someone in the forum commented that our Stop Loss was too far away…In the last 2 days the ES tanked more than 50 points, so now our Stop Loss at 1728.50 does not look that far fetche...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Futures are rising at the moment of writing, and yesterday the ES reached VERY oversold levels according to our PRICE STRETCH and TIME STRETCH measurements: 1767 was the low of the day, just below our 1770 level with 97.18% odds (see...

ES Quantitative Analysis SHORT | Slope of Hope

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In the last few days you should have seen quite well how to use the Odds Comparators in action. Here is a brief re-cap: when the odds for a LONG trade become good (see image below, black arrows pointing at the end of red candles), we...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Before beginning our ES Quantitative Analysis for today, let us address the issue of the coupon code kindly mentioned by Tim in this post.The coupon code was valid for a set number of users, when that number was reached the coupon sto...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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All right, let’s pick up the wreckage from yesterday’s trading day and let’s try to make a bit of order.As you know yesterday we theorized that the market was bottoming in the blue-circled area in the chart below, the odds were goo...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Very brief post today, just to provide some market direction guidance.It seems that everybody is betting on typical zigzags that see a market bounce and then go down again (see below).What is the problem with the above?Simple: it’s...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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This is a brief post intended to highlight something interesting.The ES yesterday closed up at 1744, weak bounce so far, not even a dead cat bounce after the dive it did two days ago.In the chart below you can see the “to go SHORT...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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ES SHORT

ES SHORT

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ES LONG

ES LONG

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In Praise of Older Dogs | Slope of Hope#more-21149

Tim

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Weekly Analysis by Dr.G – Introduction | Slope of Hope

DR. G

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Inflection Point Test | Slope of Hope#more-20153

SHJack

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As many of you know, I launched SlopeCharts? (which is accessible from the Knowledge menu of the blog)? this morning.? I wanted to share with you three specific powers that you have as a Slope+ premium user: Longer Durations – most...

Special SlopeCharts Features for Slope+ | Slope of Hope

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Brave New World Series 4 – The Next Big Resistance Levels | Sl...

SHJ

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A Deeper Examination of the Analog | Slope of Hope

Tim

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notes-rabbit hole

‘Taper to Carry’ (T2C)… a Logical Chain | Slope of Hope#more-17724

notes-rabbit hole

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I’ve posted the chart for the rising wedge that broke up on SPX this year a few times with the comment that the upside target was 1965, but haven’t added much to that because I was planning to look at this pattern target in detail...

Brave New World Series: 3 – The Rising Wedge Target at 1965 |...

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Brave New World Series: 2 – Fleas and Fibonaccis | Slope of Hope

SHJ

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I just put up a new analog about equities for all Slopers. I merely wanted to let Slope Plus folks know the source of the “old” part of the analog. It’s the S&P 500, and I’ve tinted the zone:To be clear, I’m not saying this is...

Party Like It’s 1929 | Slope of Hope

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I would love to be able to say to you that God came to me in a dream last night and provided me clairvoyance as to the future of the equities market. Sadly, I did have dreams all last night, but they were – and I am not making this...

Uranus is Bleeding | Slope of Hope

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Brave New World Series1. Secular Cycles on EquitiesFor those who aren’t familiar with them there are two types of overall market trend. The first is the primary or cyclical market, and these are bull or bear markets lasting between...

Brave New World Series: 1 – Secular Cycles | Slope of Hope#more-16620

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From Vittorio:A perspective on the value of meeting the acquaintances we think we know from the blogosphere.Now after five SlopeFests, I thought it couldn’t hurt doing a little write up to share my experiences and perhaps encourage...

SlopeFest Memories | Slope of Hope#more-15256

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blue chip bull dog: Jack Jumped Over The Candlestick!

blue chip bull dog: Jack Jumped Over The Candlestick!

scrow774