View: CES Net Birth/Death Model
CES Net Birth/Death Model
The table below shows the net birth/death model adjustment used in the published CES estimates since the establishment of the most recent benchmark level for March 2011.
2011 Net Birth/Death Adjustment, not seasonally adjusted (in thousands) Supersector Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMining and logging
1 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 0Construction
24 37 22 -6 7 3 2 -16 -22Manufacturing
-6 7 4 -8 4 0 -2 0 0Trade, transportation, and utilities
5 25 12 -12 13 8 27 1 4Information
2 4 1 -2 4 1 3 2 2Financial activities
-7 8 5 -6 2 -3 14 1 9Professional and business services
58 26 20 2 20 -8 52 0 -1Education & health services
16 18 -7 4 15 12 49 4 0Leisure and hospitality
72 76 77 38 19 -38 -35 -21 6Other services
7 8 5 -7 3 -2 4 -1 1Total nonfarm birth/death adjustment
172 211 141 5 89 -26 116 -30 -1 2011 Total nonfarm over-the-month change, not seasonally adjusted (in thousands) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecTotal nonfarm over-the-month change
1179 649 451 -1302 240 697 895 302 -207 2012 Net Birth/Death Adjustment, not seasonally adjusted (in thousands) Supersector Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMining and logging
-1 1 1 1Construction
-89 3 18 29Manufacturing
-24 3 3 -4Trade, transportation, and utilities
-60 7 11 11Information
-12 5 0 2Financial activities
-32 3 2 2Professional and business services
-95 30 14 61Education and health services
-6 12 -2 22Leisure and hospitality
-35 23 38 74Other services
-13 4 5 8Total nonfarm birth/death adjustment
-367 91 90 206 2012 Total nonfarm over-the-month change, not seasonally adjusted (in thousands) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecTotal nonfarm over-the-month change
-2668 913 861(p) 896(p)(p) - preliminary
Effective with the release of preliminary January 2011 employment estimates in February 2011, BLS began updating the Current Employment Statistics (CES) net birth/death model component of the estimation process more frequently, generating birth/death factors on a quarterly basis instead of annually. For more information about the quarterly birth/death factors, please see http://www.bls.gov/ces/ces_quarterly_birthdeath.pdf.
Additional information on the CES Birth/Death Model is available under Frequently Asked Questions.
Historical Birth/Death factors are available at http://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbdhst.htm.
An overview of the CES birth/death model, including a detailed description of the methodology is available at http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2006/05/art4full.pdf.
Technical information on the estimation methods used to account for employment in business births and deaths is available at http://www.bls.gov/ces/cesbdtech.htm.
Last Modified Date: May 4, 2012
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