Browse Stacks: Analytics: Indicators


top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
Tim Knight
2
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
Tim Knight
2
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
Silver Singularity
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
liquidity +180 bln since 12/27
Baby Bear
slopechart_IE.jpg
slopechart_IE.jpg
Sir Ivanhoe, slightly oversold, lol
Baby Bear
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
short term strength
Baby Bear
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
massive H&S forming
Baby Bear
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
US Life Expectancy.
Claws
1
tp6.png (1280×726)
tp6.png (1280×726)
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
Tim Knight
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
Tim Knight
6JUN20.png
6JUN20.png
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
Silver Singularity
4JUN20.png
4JUN20.png
Very interesting times to say the least
Silver Singularity
2
3JUN20.png
3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
Silver Singularity
4
2JUN20.jpg
2JUN20.jpg
Silver Singularity
3
bfm3343_0.jpg (941×563)
bfm3343_0.jpg (941×563)
Bear in mind that the last two times that the options market has been this exuberant (or ignorant of risk) have ma...
Tim Knight
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
Tim Knight
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
Tim Knight
1
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
Tim Knight
22dde88c3fbc251022513b9265324da6.png (1340×876)
22dde88c3fbc251022513b9265324da6.png (1340×876)
The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
Tim Knight
bfm4B38_1.jpg (976×622)
bfm4B38_1.jpg (976×622)
Tim Knight
A deflationary yield curve steepener
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
NFTRH
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
NFTRH
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
Tim Knight
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
Tim Knight
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
NFTRH
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
NFTRH
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
NFTRH
1
m2 money supply
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_JOE.jpg
slopechart_JOE.jpg
50/100 MA Cross. Seems a decent chart.
kingofthenw
VIX.jpg
VIX.jpg
$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Claws
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
NFTRH
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflation indicators go the other way – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
Gold vs. Inflation Expectations has popped above the SMA 50. If you're a gold bug and want to see a solid rally in...
NFTRH
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflation indicators go the other way – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
CME Group now up to nearly 73% forecast of +.75% on Nov. 2nd.
NFTRH
1
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflation indicators go the other way – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
Inflation expectations continue to fade.
NFTRH
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the...
Copper/Gold ratio still plenty bearish for broad markets.
NFTRH
1
slopechart_/ES.jpg
slopechart_/ES.jpg
200 Week Average /ES during 1st leg of British Pound Crisis
Reverb
2 Horsemen of (macro) Apocalypse ride on… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2 Horsemen of (macro) Apocalypse ride on… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here's USD's fellow rider in market liquidity destruction, the Gold/Silver ratio.
NFTRH
2 Horsemen of (macro) Apocalypse ride on… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2 Horsemen of (macro) Apocalypse ride on… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
When USD & Gold/Silver ratio rise together it's usually... ruh roh! Liquidity crisis.
NFTRH
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
fell out of the fork
Baby Bear
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
As Robert Miner pointed out, we have an Andrew's Pitchfork on the S&P
Baby Bear
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes...
Gold continues to pivot vs. more inflation sensitive & cyclical items across the markets.
NFTRH
Just another Cu & Cu/Au post – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Just another Cu & Cu/Au post – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper/Gold ratio... bad to worse for the cyclical, inflation-sensitive stuff (hello commodities).
NFTRH
T-Bill yield up, RINF down today – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
T-Bill yield up, RINF down today – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Curious divergence today as 3 mo. T-bill yield is up, inflation expectations tracker down.
NFTRH
copper/gold ratio
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio is bounce with copper but it implies a respite (bounce) for the recently bearish inflation trade...
NFTRH
Doctor Copper’s prescription enclosed… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper’s prescription enclosed… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here is Copper/Gold, making a really lousy macro signal for those still pumping the inflation trades.
NFTRH
copper price
copper price
Doctor Copper breaks down and that's not good for the economy and it's not good for the inflation trades either.
NFTRH
When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes...
Even more disgusting than nominal XLV is the XLV/SPY ratio, because this ratio rises in bear market and if it gets...
NFTRH
slopechart_TZA.jpg
slopechart_TZA.jpg
Diverging volume for the first time since the RUT bear began. This is likely another indication that a rally is ab...
DoubleNaughtSpy
1
Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From th...
Disaster in the making...
NFTRH
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold is getting absolutely killed, but it's not even to the downside target yet. More importantly, check out the c...
NFTRH
2
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bonk. (so far)
sandunes
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
NFTRH
1
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
NFTRH
high yield credit spreads
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
NFTRH
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From...
Copper/Gold ratio will forecast bad things to come for the cyclical macro if it drops. As yet, still in consolidation.
NFTRH
2022-02-23_09-46-43_0.jpg (906×580)
2022-02-23_09-46-43_0.jpg (906×580)
S&P Breadth continues to weaken...
Tim Knight
1
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades. But with the media cacophony is anyone listening?
NFTRH
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
NFTRH
silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio: lose this area and go dis-inflationary (at best). Hold it and turn up and it's inflation 'on'.
NFTRH
1
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
NFTRH
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
NFTRH
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If USD keeps rallying *AND* the Gold/Silver ratio also puts on an extended rally the markets are going to flush in...
NFTRH
1
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
NFTRH
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Copper/Gold ratio is macro-undecided as yet.
NFTRH
2022-01-19_09-11-02.jpg (644×730)
2022-01-19_09-11-02.jpg (644×730)
Tim Knight
1
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
NFTRH
2
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
NFTRH
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
Inflation expectations take a hit but still aloft.
NFTRH
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Eth - year SMA Pretty much just tagged it. Trading Rules Observation in Regard. Purchase Eth if it maintains...
sandunes
banks kbe
banks kbe
Pigs re-taking the lead = not bearish for some sizable chunks of the market. Also means bad for gold.
NFTRH
2021-12-31_10-48-40.jpg (1280×640)
2021-12-31_10-48-40.jpg (1280×640)
"Buffett Indicator" has never been higher...
Tim Knight
1
Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence. Correction is gonna come but his bugger has been diverging since March! Patience.
NFTRH
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
NFTRH
copper/gold ratio
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bumps positive again (big surprise). When the real move comes you'll want to be on its right sid...
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
NFTRH
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX |...
TSX-V/TSX ratio currently shows cooling inflation spec trades.
NFTRH
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
NFTRH
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Daily Copper/Gold ratio decision point...
NFTRH
bdi
bdi
BDI continues flashing negative for inflation/inflation trades...
NFTRH
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this are… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
NFTRH
baltic dry index, inflation expectations
baltic dry index, inflation expectations
A negative forward indicator for inflation and thus, the inflation trades as BDI drops hard.
NFTRH
slopechart_NFLX.jpg
slopechart_NFLX.jpg
What is up with the short term volatility on NFLX? It usually doesn't collapse before earnings...
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_IWM.jpg
slopechart_IWM.jpg
The range is narrowing, the squeeze is on. Declining volume
Baby Bear
3
slopechart_ULTA.jpg
slopechart_ULTA.jpg
Playing around with sine waves 'bout time for some dropping
MississippiMan
bfmC1C3_0.jpg (1015×570)
bfmC1C3_0.jpg (1015×570)
A sea-change!
Tim Knight
1
bfm11BF.jpg (1015×569)
bfm11BF.jpg (1015×569)
Tim Knight
gold/spx ratio
gold/spx ratio
Macro still cyclical inflation but it's gonna morph... Stag, Deflation or Goldilocks. 3rd option least likely but...
NFTRH
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Ultra Super Secret Proprietary Moving Average Deluxe holding Bitcoin. Barely... and I don't think for long. No...
sandunes
bfmCEB0.jpg (940×525)
bfmCEB0.jpg (940×525)
This was the second largest sell-program in history with TICK crashing to -2067 (record low as -2069 on 5/11/21)...
Tim Knight
Sentiment-Trader-Combo-Bear-Market-Probability (1).png (788×575)
Sentiment-Trader-Combo-Bear-Market-Probability (1).png (788×575)
Tim Knight
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
NFTRH
1
2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
NFTRH
3
xvg
xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
NFTRH
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
NFTRH
1
tyx
tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_AGR.jpg
slopechart_AGR.jpg
Possible good news for AGR if you are running short of stocks you shouldn't short.
sdhaff21
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Where is the Wizard? Our triangle just got bigger. We could mess around in that thing until September. Unles...
sandunes
3
slopechart_USO.jpg
slopechart_USO.jpg
My mind has been changed on inflation. Feel free to enjoy the panic!
sdhaff21
spxw2_0.png (1240×791)
spxw2_0.png (1240×791)
Tim Knight