Users: daButcher: All Pages

goldFUTURES.jpg
goldFUTURES.jpg
Gold futures contract has a downside DeMark exhaustion signal today. As posted on Hedge Fund Telemetry daily note today
daButcher
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BITcoinsouthkorea.jpg
BITcoinsouthkorea.jpg
A bitcoin frenzy like no other is gripping South Korea, bombed by the north the worry, another bomb heading your way.
daButcher
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CHINA.jpg
CHINA.jpg
Every bull market is unique, but the one in China right now looks downright strange....the stock market in China i...
daButcher
highestREVearningsplayweek.jpg
highestREVearningsplayweek.jpg
@DOCSTRANGE, let's get crazy: These are the highest revenue generating companies reporting earnings this week.
daButcher
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value.jpg
value.jpg
Over the last 4 weeks there has been a resurgence in value strategies. Going into November, factor leadership was...
daButcher
1
stocksbonds6040.jpg
stocksbonds6040.jpg
Stock and bond markets have been extraordinarily quiet since February 2016 lows. How quiet? A 60/40 portfolio cons...
daButcher
stocksvsbonds.jpg
stocksvsbonds.jpg
The last time equities outperformed bonds for 7 straight years was 1928
daButcher
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putcallratio.png
putcallratio.png
10 day...
daButcher
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$SPXsupertrends.jpg
$SPXsupertrends.jpg
$SPX up 7 weeks in a row. Up 8 weeks just once since 2003; gained 0.06%. Up 9 weeks at start of 2003-07 bull marke...
daButcher
ECBinflation.jpg
ECBinflation.jpg
Central Banks Have Consistently Failed At Predicting Inflation and Growth, Why Believe Them Now?
daButcher
1
SPXfutures.jpg
SPXfutures.jpg
Hedge funds and asset managers haven't been this net long US equity futures since 1Q15
daButcher
hedgehogs&therutty.jpg
hedgehogs&therutty.jpg
For 1st time in 17 weeks, #hedgefunds net long $RUT futures, even as cash showing signs of fatigue after huge run. $IWM
daButcher
Lumber.jpg
Lumber.jpg
As NAFTA talks turn ugly, lumber futures soar to 13-year high
daButcher
1
creditlosses.png
creditlosses.png
Increasing credit losses as the FOMC raises rates, either the curve screams higher on the long end or we all fall...
daButcher
Treasury-Bund Spread .jpg
Treasury-Bund Spread .jpg
Treasury-Bund Spread Says Dollar Has More Room to Fall
daButcher
1
S&Pcyckes.jpg
S&Pcyckes.jpg
Market has laughed at the "typical seasonal weakness" story this year. Won't stop folks from talking up "typical s...
daButcher
VIXfutures.jpg
VIXfutures.jpg
Another new record in noncommercial net shorts in $VIX futures: Expect zombie-like action until a geopolitical cat...
daButcher
4
SPXweekly.jpg
SPXweekly.jpg
Other times since 2009 that newsletter bulls-bears spread was >45%. Last time was March ($SPX fell 3% during month)
daButcher
NAS100.jpg
NAS100.jpg
Nasdaq 100 weekly divergence stacking up. MACD, money flow, volume. Rising wedge formation
daButcher
REXit.jpg
REXit.jpg
REXit
daButcher
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M&Apeaked.jpg
M&Apeaked.jpg
Global M&A activity has slowed and likely peaked.
daButcher
expectations all time high.jpg
expectations all time high.jpg
A record percentage of people think the stock market will rise over the next 12 months
daButcher
2
MChammer.jpg
MChammer.jpg
The stock market has become excessively calm and quiet, befitting a meaningful top.
daButcher
2
highestVOLearnings.jpg
highestVOLearnings.jpg
Highest VOL post earnings report
daButcher
$VIX downside exhaustion.jpg
$VIX downside exhaustion.jpg
$VIX downside exhaustion
daButcher
2
LTCperspective.jpg
LTCperspective.jpg
LTC perspective of the move BIGHOUSE
daButcher
2
$VXO2.jpg
$VXO2.jpg
The closing quote monkey business in VXO continues this week. Today should have been new closing low, but "somebod...
daButcher
1
$VXO.jpg
$VXO.jpg
Something screwy going on lately in VXO quotes. Somebody painting the tape at the close?
daButcher
TommyBoy.jpg
TommyBoy.jpg
9-13-9 Sequential sell signal during a strong uptrend was one of the most powerful sell signals there is
daButcher
1
IBB.jpg
IBB.jpg
$IBB target short
daButcher
endofQoutofbonds.jpg
endofQoutofbonds.jpg
End of Q out of bonds, systematic walk down-----KGS
daButcher
CrudeCRAP.jpg
CrudeCRAP.jpg
If there was a mercy rule in financial markets, we may have already called it a year for crude oil.
daButcher
GOLDvol.jpg
GOLDvol.jpg
Gold's volatility has fallen to the lowest level in half a decade. A big move is coming.
daButcher
2
REALreturnFORECAST.jpg
REALreturnFORECAST.jpg
equity returns to expect over next 10 years.
daButcher
2
VIX2.jpg
VIX2.jpg
Volatility Index: 7 out of top 20 lowest weekly closes have occurred in 2017. Most peaceful market in history. $VIX
daButcher
1
FEDrecessioncasue.jpg
FEDrecessioncasue.jpg
Goldman Finds Most Modern Recessions Were Caused By The Fed
daButcher
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VIX.jpg
VIX.jpg
New record in non-commercial VIX shorts
daButcher
2
CDX.jpg
CDX.jpg
CDX HY 5 year CDS spread rounding bottom / falling wedge breakout
daButcher
MovingAverages.jpg
MovingAverages.jpg
The importance of moving averages
daButcher
3
putcallratio.jpg
putcallratio.jpg
CBOE's Equity Put/Call Ratio 21MA is below its lower band, working without a net Q2 quad witch.
daButcher
RUTTYvsNASTY.jpg
RUTTYvsNASTY.jpg
Here is every time in past decade when big-cap tech reached a new high and barely half of small-cap stocks were in...
daButcher
1
BearPorn87.jpg
BearPorn87.jpg
1987-2018 analog
daButcher
Housing.jpg
Housing.jpg
The Housing Moment Investors Dread Is Here
daButcher
Debt.jpg
Debt.jpg
Household debt delinquency low, trend flattening. Uptick in delinquency leads cycle end (from Calculated Risk)
daButcher
NewTraders.jpg
NewTraders.jpg
Not enough new traders see or understand this. It's everything....Manage risk like a father of four teen age daughters.
daButcher
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VWAP.jpg
VWAP.jpg
VWAP corrective levels to watch
daButcher
GS.jpg
GS.jpg
Squid$230strikelock
daButcher
Hedgefundnet10year.jpg
Hedgefundnet10year.jpg
Hedge fund net longs in 10-year note futures rise to highest in nearly a decade....they were very correct last time.
daButcher
CorrelationConcern.jpg
CorrelationConcern.jpg
A Warning That the Biggest Risk for Markets Could Be Too Much Harmony
daButcher
Q1-2017earnings.jpg
Q1-2017earnings.jpg
Q1 2017 earnings to date 5/5/2017
daButcher