Users: Tim Knight: All Pages
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Margin debt is ANOTHER reason this market is doomed
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Hyperscaling insanity
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S&P all time high will make the history books: it will happen with the most negative market breadth at an ATH on record.
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Market breadth SUCKS
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What the top 1% own
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Call volume is batshit insane - - massive new highs
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Impact of shutdowns on stocks
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No one gives a shit, but BUFFETT INDICATOR HAS NEVER BEEN HIGHER.............EVER!!!!!!!!
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S&P 1m IV levels are just off 1yr lows and screen as extremely cheap when taking into account all of September’s...
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September is comfortably in first place as the worst month of the year for the S&P 500 with an average return of -...
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SPX has moved in very close tandem with bond volatility this entire year. The most recent gap between SPX and MOVE...
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CTA positioning in US equities officially sits in the 100th percentile and is maxed out.
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Hedge funds back to "all-in"
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From Zerohedge (of course). Are you fucking KIDDING me?
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Seasonality isn’t your friend from now til mid-September
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This is either indicative of a forthcoming selloff or the recap of a REALLY good wedding night.
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SHORT SQUEEZE analog
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30yr UST yields now > S&P EPS yield for the 1st time in 23 years.
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Japan is facing an alarming swift repricing of long-dated fixed income. 30 year yields now >3%, again – levels n...
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The 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007 this week.
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So the so-called 'Smart Money' is piling into shorts as prices rise... and at the same time - as we detailed earli...
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Hedge Fund shorts as a percentage of total open interest reached 41% - the max dating back to February of 2021.
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Over the past 3 COT reports, Hedge Fund shorts surged ~$25bn - the largest amount for at least the past 10 years.
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NO ONE is buying puts anymore.
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The permabull nut-jobs at Zerohedge are actually suggesting a 1997 analog. Yeah, guys, fine.
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The gargantuan spread between earnings and price.
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Record polarization: Democrats expect inflation to explode to 6.5% this year while Republicans expect no inflation...
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VIX saw its biggest daily decline since the shit started hitting the fan a month ago, breaking down from over 29 t...
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Retail investors are showing record equity weight, greater than at the peak of the dot.com bubble.
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Retail sentiment at new all time highs...
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The extreme high in US households’ optimism on the equity outlook is a clear sign of froth
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US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
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US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
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Strong VIX seasonality kicks in soon...
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RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
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Put simply, the only reason the S&P 500 is holding up is due to a handful of large tech plays that receive a tremendo...
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Beneath the Surface a Bloodbath is Unfolding | ZeroHedge
High yield credit breaking down quite badly. As I write this, it is signaling a pullback in the S&P 500 to at leas...
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Apple is now trading at over 10x sales, the highest valuation level in company history.
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Total debt, public and private: the acme of a self-liquidating system:
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Wages' share of the economy have been in structural decline since 1975:
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Optimism exploding to the upside.
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Big Tech and Industrials going separate ways, just like late 1999
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The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
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The Magnificent 7 stocks represent a record 33% index weight in the S&P 500.
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US Corporates are set to repurchase another $1 Trillion worth of shares in 2025.
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The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
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The surge in spending was driven primarily by higher spending on health, defense and Social Security, but mostly a...
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US Budget Deficit Soars In Worst Start To Year On Record
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Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
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AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
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Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
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put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
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Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
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equity market cap by country.
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the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth