Source: cms.zerohedge

Below are all items from cms.zerohedge.

bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
Tim Knight
2
image-38_1.png (564×410)
image-38_1.png (564×410)
Of al the gains in stocks since 2011, a full 27% is from share buybacks
Tim Knight
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2024 cumulative fiscal.jpg (1280×871)
2024 cumulative fiscal.jpg (1280×871)
Tim Knight
Presidential-Elections-Stock-Mar (1).jpg (831×513)
Presidential-Elections-Stock-Mar (1).jpg (831×513)
Tim Knight
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bfmD6CB.jpg (935×507)
bfmD6CB.jpg (935×507)
Tim Knight
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stat expensive spx.jpg (1026×528)
stat expensive spx.jpg (1026×528)
Tim Knight
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top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
Tim Knight
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bfm55D_2.jpg (921×522)
bfm55D_2.jpg (921×522)
Tim Knight
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asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
Tim Knight
Federal-Deficit-as-Percentage-of.jpg (977×730)
Federal-Deficit-as-Percentage-of.jpg (977×730)
Tim Knight
Federal-Debt-as-Percentage-of-GD.jpg (973×662)
Federal-Debt-as-Percentage-of-GD.jpg (973×662)
Tim Knight
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2024-02-09_10-36-18.jpg (944×722)
2024-02-09_10-36-18.jpg (944×722)
S&P 500 is up for 14 of the last 15 weeks for the first time since March 1972...
Tim Knight
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bfmD808.jpg (969×589)
bfmD808.jpg (969×589)
Tim Knight
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spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
S&P 500 Index gained 1.6% last month, its equal-weighted counterpart slumped 0.9% (again).
Tim Knight
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
Tim Knight
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payrolls vs employment jan 24.jpg (1275×737)
payrolls vs employment jan 24.jpg (1275×737)
Tim Knight
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Snag_52a85f2d.png (1280×704)
Snag_52a85f2d.png (1280×704)
Used car prices
Tim Knight
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mag 7 bubble bursts_0.jpg (1280×567)
mag 7 bubble bursts_0.jpg (1280×567)
Tim Knight
magnificent seven 1.jpg (1027×740)
magnificent seven 1.jpg (1027×740)
Tim Knight
rubner17.png (699×411)
rubner17.png (699×411)
Nice illustration about how trading based on statistics can be a giant waste of time
Tim Knight
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rubner1_0.png (738×395)
rubner1_0.png (738×395)
Tim Knight
rubner9_0.png (552×379)
rubner9_0.png (552×379)
Tim Knight
2023-12-07_09-18-27.jpg (1280×930)
2023-12-07_09-18-27.jpg (1280×930)
So Obamacare has caused insurance premiums to go up hundreds of percent. Terrific!
Tim Knight
2023-12-07_09-18-56.jpg (1280×921)
2023-12-07_09-18-56.jpg (1280×921)
Thanks, Mister President!
Tim Knight
bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
Tim Knight
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interest vs military budgetr.jpg (987×548)
interest vs military budgetr.jpg (987×548)
Tim Knight
2024 seasonality.png (909×573)
2024 seasonality.png (909×573)
Tim Knight
over.JPG (685×528)
over.JPG (685×528)
Tim Knight
bfm5ED7.jpg (922×642)
bfm5ED7.jpg (922×642)
The market is still pricing in 110 bps of rate-cuts by the end of next year...
Tim Knight
household debt service payments.jpg (1280×720)
household debt service payments.jpg (1280×720)
Tim Knight
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total debt balances q2_0.jpg (1280×926)
total debt balances q2_0.jpg (1280×926)
The US now has $17.1 trillion in household debt: $12 trillion in mortgages, $1.6 trillion in auto loans, $1.6 tril...
Tim Knight
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image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
August’s past and ugly seasonality...
Tim Knight
image020 (4).png (603×291)
image020 (4).png (603×291)
Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
Tim Knight
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
Tim Knight
cumulative deficits_1.jpg (1280×807)
cumulative deficits_1.jpg (1280×807)
US federal deficit for fiscal 2023 up a staggering $1tn to $1.4tn from year before...
Tim Knight
era of fiscal excess_1.jpg (857×500)
era of fiscal excess_1.jpg (857×500)
Waste, waste, and more waste
Tim Knight
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Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Tim Knight
Debt-To-GDP-Growth-2009-Present-1024x565.jpg (1024×565)
Debt-To-GDP-Growth-2009-Present-1024x565.jpg (1024×565)
Tim Knight
Debt-To-GDP-by-President.jpg (908×578)
Debt-To-GDP-by-President.jpg (908×578)
Tim Knight
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cpi hartnett_1.jpg (653×516)
cpi hartnett_1.jpg (653×516)
Tim Knight
net long.jpg (450×325)
net long.jpg (450×325)
Equity futures positioning
Tim Knight
annualized interest payments_1.jpg (1050×602)
annualized interest payments_1.jpg (1050×602)
The annual payment on US Federal debt is about to hit $1 trillion, surpassing how much the US pays every year on d...
Tim Knight
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image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
Tim Knight
US vs Japan CPI.jpg (1261×644)
US vs Japan CPI.jpg (1261×644)
Japanese inflation is now higher than that in the US for the first time since October 2015.
Tim Knight
2023-07-21_07-35-20.jpg (607×395)
2023-07-21_07-35-20.jpg (607×395)
Despite being within 6% of its highs, the S&P is still in historical bear-market territory.
Tim Knight
2023-07-21_08-51-32.jpg (807×584)
2023-07-21_08-51-32.jpg (807×584)
Biden draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve like no one else ever has........
Tim Knight
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2023-07-20_08-52-18.jpg (1065×518)
2023-07-20_08-52-18.jpg (1065×518)
Shown below are is the performance of the SPX after each 3rd Friday expiration.
Tim Knight
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bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
Tim Knight
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TCMDO5-23a_2.png (550×460)
TCMDO5-23a_2.png (550×460)
total credit (TCMDO)
Tim Knight
minsky moment chart_1.jpg (1024×576)
minsky moment chart_1.jpg (1024×576)
Tim Knight
2023-07-12_16-01-33.png (544×468)
2023-07-12_16-01-33.png (544×468)
Tim Knight
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bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
Tim Knight
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fed funds vs spx.jpg (1252×665)
fed funds vs spx.jpg (1252×665)
The S&P 500 is now ~3% higher than where it was when the Fed started hiking rates in March 2022...
Tim Knight
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tp16.png (953×563)
tp16.png (953×563)
M2 growth is printing negative for the first time in ~90 years
Tim Knight
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tp11.png (949×563)
tp11.png (949×563)
headline CPI minus the Fed Funds rate
Tim Knight
tp6.png (1280×726)
tp6.png (1280×726)
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
Tim Knight
tp3_0.png (960×672)
tp3_0.png (960×672)
horizontal axis is 2022 returns and the vertical axis is 2023 returns
Tim Knight
tp1_0.png (1065×696)
tp1_0.png (1065×696)
6-week trading range in S&P
Tim Knight
tp18.png (800×600)
tp18.png (800×600)
Tim Knight
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spx hit rate.jpg (864×657)
spx hit rate.jpg (864×657)
Tim Knight
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Nashville-vacancy-rate-1.png (1000×621)
Nashville-vacancy-rate-1.png (1000×621)
Tim Knight
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
Tim Knight
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
Tim Knight
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
Tim Knight
ERP_2.jpg (887×474)
ERP_2.jpg (887×474)
Tim Knight
PMI vs SPX.jpg (886×473)
PMI vs SPX.jpg (886×473)
Tim Knight
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download (47).png (715×432)
download (47).png (715×432)
US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
Tim Knight
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
Tim Knight
download (20)_7.png (775×594)
download (20)_7.png (775×594)
Quarter-End Pension Fund Portfolio Rebalancing: You are now funded. Big equity rebalance for sale:
Tim Knight
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
Tim Knight
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
Tim Knight
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bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
Tim Knight
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
Tim Knight
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credit card interest rate may 2023_1.jpg (1012×568)
credit card interest rate may 2023_1.jpg (1012×568)
Tim Knight
2023-06-12_11-18-47.jpg (909×500)
2023-06-12_11-18-47.jpg (909×500)
Tesla's stock price rose for the 12th straight day - the longest winning streak in the company's history...
Tim Knight
wealth1_0.jpg (1072×781)
wealth1_0.jpg (1072×781)
Tim Knight
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top 10.JPG (637×517)
top 10.JPG (637×517)
Tim Knight
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CS national.jpg (700×499)
CS national.jpg (700×499)
Tim Knight
case mish.jpg (700×426)
case mish.jpg (700×426)
Tim Knight
bfm6FA1.jpg (1023×607)
bfm6FA1.jpg (1023×607)
The headline factory orders rose just 0.4% MoM (half the 0.8% MoM expected) and worse still, the March data was re...
Tim Knight
bfmEBF7.jpg (1023×612)
bfmEBF7.jpg (1023×612)
Core factory orders (ex-transports) was even worse, dropping 0.2% MoM (+0.2% MoM exp) - the third straight monthly...
Tim Knight
CBO debt forecast 2.15.2023_5.jpg (1191×670)
CBO debt forecast 2.15.2023_5.jpg (1191×670)
US Debt Will Rise From $31 Trillion To $50 Trillion By 2030
Tim Knight
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bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
Tim Knight
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
Tim Knight
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
Tim Knight
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
Tim Knight
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
Tim Knight
the next bubble AI.jpg (1076×621)
the next bubble AI.jpg (1076×621)
Tim Knight
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bfm3D59.jpg (938×572)
bfm3D59.jpg (938×572)
Nasdaq was this high relative to small caps was the peak of the dotcom bubble...
Tim Knight
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
Tim Knight
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
Tim Knight
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market breadth.jpg (744×445)
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
Tim Knight
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5 stocks 23% of spx.jpg (643×465)
5 stocks 23% of spx.jpg (643×465)
5 stocks = 23% of S&P 500
Tim Knight
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
Tim Knight
bfmA6F4_1.jpg (1039×644)
bfmA6F4_1.jpg (1039×644)
USA Sovereign risk has never been this high...
Tim Knight
2023-04-22_14-02-54.jpg (565×432)
2023-04-22_14-02-54.jpg (565×432)
The U.S. dollar’s share of official global reserve currencies has gone from about 73 per cent in 2001 to around...
Tim Knight
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TSY cash.png (1280×757)
TSY cash.png (1280×757)
Ha ha ha ha
Tim Knight
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bfm1407_1.jpg (956×654)
bfm1407_1.jpg (956×654)
US Sovereign credit risk spread hovering right at record highs
Tim Knight
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Hart 1.png (1280×880)
Hart 1.png (1280×880)
Tim Knight
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bfmAA_1.jpg (936×501)
bfmAA_1.jpg (936×501)
Sovereign credit risk of the USA soared to a record high this week...
Tim Knight
1