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:
Business
: Economy
2022-05-16_12-05-31.jpg (989×663)
This morning's 8-sigma miss to the downside for Empire Fed manufacturing dragged the US Macro Surprise Index into...
fredgraph.png (700×868)
Holy crap......US Trade Balance, 1992-2022
3
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Disastrous Q1 productivity report, which posted at -7.5%, the biggest drop since 1947.
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecasts Negligable Growth
1
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US Durable Goods Orders Growth Slowest In 13 Months
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3
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You can’t make this up. During the past nearly quarter of a century, the BOJ’s balance sheet (purple line) has...
3
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Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
AVvXsEg2BkOwb70XcfN5KbHoLhZvFr_z_EJux3L8eFP0H_fVN3dhTiekzguE_Zzy8P7...
Oil is just about the only thing that we still make here.
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US Trade Deficit On Goods And Services, 1990-2022
GDPNow.jpeg (1226×592)
GDP forecast
1
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Total Business Debt As % of GDP, 1971-2020
1
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Index of US Unit Labor Costs, 1971-2021
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Imports of Nondurable Goods, 1997-2021
1
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Real physical output of nondurables in the US clocked in 1% below the level first achieved 25 years ago in August 1997!
1
caixing PMI.jpg (1267×633)
China PMIs Show Economy On Verge Of Contraction Amid Continued Growth Slowdown
2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
Atlanta Fed Shocker: US Economy On Verge Of Contraction
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to stonk analysts' P/E projections had a lot of work to do as of a week ago (1/20). Probably...
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to SPX (technicals) finally closed...
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1
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Real wages are SHRINKING
1
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Boom and Bust of taxi medallions
2
Real-Makret-Cap-To-GDP-Ratio-110921-1024x661.png (1024×661)
1
Household-Ownership-of-Equities.png (889×521)
1
bofa investment clock nov 2021.jpg (656×554)
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Total Household Debt Versus Wage And Salary Income, 1971-2021
1
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US Trade Balance In Goods, 2018-2021
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Personal Consumption Expenditures On Goods, 2009-2021
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China Trade Surplus Hits Record Just As US Trade Deficit Rises To All-Time High
FDbYGNdXoAcbBGU (700×500)
Food costs surging
5
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Y/Y Change In Retail Wages & Salaries
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Retail Inventories To Sales Ratio (Months)
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Net Private Domestic Investment As A Percent of GDP, 1960-2020
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GDP Misses As US Economy Grows Only 2% In Q3, Weakest Growth Since Covid Struck
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On the manufacturing side of the scale, the index number reported for September 2021 was exactly the same as that...
atlanta fed gdp now.jpg (1267×684)
In its latest GDPNow forecast published moments ago, the Atlanta Fed slashed its estimate for real GDP growth in t...
Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade 'top-down'...
bfmE05F.jpg (1015×570)
1
GDP-Government-Interventions-062931_1.png (812×445)
1
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
1
1956.jpeg
UK Car Production Posts Worst July Since 1956 courtesy of ZeroEdge.
9
bfmFEAB_0.jpg (966×530)
QE ain't f**king doing anything for the real economy...
GDP core PCE aug 2021.jpg (1260×651)
Q2 GDP Revised To 6.6%, Missing Expectations; Core Inflation Hits Highest Since 1983
1
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Record Margin Debt
1
container shipping socgen.jpg (1198×406)
Yet another flavor of inflation
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Fed-Rate-GDP-Crisis-072621-1024x603.png (1024×603)
As stated, outside of inflated asset prices, there is little evidence of real economic growth as witnessed by an a...
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Constant Dollar Value Of Domestic Production Of Finished Products, 1972-2021
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US Trade Balance on Goods, 1947-2021
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US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Slow In June
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Real Hourly Wages Versus Unit Labor Costs, 1972-1995
1
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Real GDP Growth Versus Fed Balance Sheet Growth, 1951-1962
1
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1
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US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps
1
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2
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1
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Real Goods And Supplies As % Of Real GDP, 1972-2021
3
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Inflation-Adjusted Spending, Recreational Goods and Vehicles, 1999-2021
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Constant Dollar E-Commerce Sales, 2013-2021
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Constant Dollar Retail Sales, 2003-2021
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NBER Tells 14 Million Jobless Americans That The Recession Officially Ended In April 2020, The Shortest Ever
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Manufacturing Production Index, March 2005-June 20121 - - net gain in 17 years time: ZERO.
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Real GDP Growth Versus Inflation, 1921-1929
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US Trade Balance On Real Goods, 1970-2021
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Household Debt Versus Wage and Salary Income, 1986-2021
1
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Corporate Equity Value At Market As % Of Nominal GDP, 1951-2020
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Fed Balance Sheet Versus Nominal GDP, 2003-2021
1
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1
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Government Transfer Payments As % of GDP
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YoY Change In Government Transfer Payments In Billions, 2000-2021
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US Net Exports Of Goods and Services, 1947-2020
2
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Constant Dollar Net Worth Of Bottom 50% of US Households, 1992-2019
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Real Median Family Income, 1954-2018
Screen Shot 2021-04-29 at 10.01.51 AM.png (2022×1092)
America well on the road to ruin
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1
China M2 5.17.jpg (1148×677)
Perhaps even more ominously, China's broader M2 annual growth slumped to just 8.1% Y/Y, far below the consensus pr...
1
fredgraph.png (750×718)
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
bfmB9E4_0.jpg (1105×580)
fredgraph.png (800×820)
1
cpi & ppi
Screwing the consumer over decades is one thing, but let manufacturing costs (PPI) get out of hand and it's a whol...
An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here is the engine of a coming Stagflation... producer prices (PPI).
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4
stimulus3-21 (1).png (500×493)
fredgraph.png (1000×670)
Retail sales
1
American-Rescue-Plan-Act-of-2021-1.9-Trillion-Covid-Relief-Bill-Exp...
2
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1
govt transfer payments.jpg (908×593)
27% Of All Household Income In The US Now Comes From The Government
2
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slopechart_ACB.jpg
cup and handle ACB stack
1
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systems-collapse5-20_2.jpg (525×480)
1
6_5.png (564×445)
So all that blather about this huge new trade deal with China? It didn't do DICK. What a joke.
1
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