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Business
: Economy
household debt service payments.jpg (1280×720)
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Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Debt-To-GDP-Growth-2009-Present-1024x565.jpg (1024×565)
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Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
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Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
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1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
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The headline factory orders rose just 0.4% MoM (half the 0.8% MoM expected) and worse still, the March data was re...
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Core factory orders (ex-transports) was even worse, dropping 0.2% MoM (+0.2% MoM exp) - the third straight monthly...
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This represents PURE PROFIT for gift card sellers
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Global EPS growth on course for -10-15% YoY in H2’23
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ISM < 45 = Recession
1
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46.3 means "manufacturing contraction on fu...
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US unemployment is now worse than Russian unemployment...
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Empire State manufacturing survey
Cost-push inflation? I don't think so. Not in manufacturing. Prices along with several other indicators tanking in...
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January Payrolls +517,000 | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Hazel servicing the guests aboard the Good Ship Lollipop... boy is she ever servicing them!
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Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
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2y10y curve closed at the most inverted level in 40 years last night
Contra Corner Why The Fed Is Gonna Break Some Serious Financial...
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Americans' Savings Rate Plunges Near Record Lows As Inflation Overwhelms Income Growth
1
Contra Corner The Folly Of Central Banking In One Country, Parts...
Household Financial Asset Versus Nominal GDP, 1987-2021
1
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The latest recession probability models by Bloomberg economists Anna Wong and Eliza Winger forecast a higher recessio...
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It's just all so beautiful..........
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US Manufacturing Surveys Signal Weakest Growth In Over 2 Years, Prices Paid Plunges
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PMI survey point to continued deceleration that appears to be steeper/more severe than what we saw in 2019.
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NY Fed Manufacturing Unexpectedly Craters In 2nd Biggest Drop On Record
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Atlanta Fed Slashes Q3 GDP Growth As PMI Plunges
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Recession is here, no matter what the Biden blog tries to redefine it as........
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Retail Inventory-to-Sales Ratio For General Merchandise Stores, 2007-2022
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China GDP Growth Plunges In Q2
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For four of the last 5 months, the S&P 500 has fallen by an average 0.78% on CPI day...
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The US economy saw false hopes of recovery in Q1 of 2022, only to have that slapped in the face of optimists in Q2...
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'Misery' Index (adjusted using CPI and LFPR) to its worst since Jimmy Carter was president...
3
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And longer-term, the trend towards stagflation could not be clearer...
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Economy projection slashed severely (no surprise there)
1
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This morning's 8-sigma miss to the downside for Empire Fed manufacturing dragged the US Macro Surprise Index into...
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Holy crap......US Trade Balance, 1992-2022
3
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Disastrous Q1 productivity report, which posted at -7.5%, the biggest drop since 1947.
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecasts Negligable Growth
1
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US Durable Goods Orders Growth Slowest In 13 Months
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You can’t make this up. During the past nearly quarter of a century, the BOJ’s balance sheet (purple line) has...
3
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AVvXsEg2BkOwb70XcfN5KbHoLhZvFr_z_EJux3L8eFP0H_fVN3dhTiekzguE_Zzy8P7...
Oil is just about the only thing that we still make here.
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US Trade Deficit On Goods And Services, 1990-2022
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GDP forecast
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Total Business Debt As % of GDP, 1971-2020
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Index of US Unit Labor Costs, 1971-2021
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Imports of Nondurable Goods, 1997-2021
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Real physical output of nondurables in the US clocked in 1% below the level first achieved 25 years ago in August 1997!
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China PMIs Show Economy On Verge Of Contraction Amid Continued Growth Slowdown
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Atlanta Fed Shocker: US Economy On Verge Of Contraction
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to stonk analysts' P/E projections had a lot of work to do as of a week ago (1/20). Probably...
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to SPX (technicals) finally closed...
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Real wages are SHRINKING
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Boom and Bust of taxi medallions
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1
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Total Household Debt Versus Wage And Salary Income, 1971-2021
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US Trade Balance In Goods, 2018-2021
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Personal Consumption Expenditures On Goods, 2009-2021
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China Trade Surplus Hits Record Just As US Trade Deficit Rises To All-Time High
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Food costs surging
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Y/Y Change In Retail Wages & Salaries
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Retail Inventories To Sales Ratio (Months)
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Net Private Domestic Investment As A Percent of GDP, 1960-2020
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GDP Misses As US Economy Grows Only 2% In Q3, Weakest Growth Since Covid Struck
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On the manufacturing side of the scale, the index number reported for September 2021 was exactly the same as that...
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In its latest GDPNow forecast published moments ago, the Atlanta Fed slashed its estimate for real GDP growth in t...
Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade 'top-down'...
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citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
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UK Car Production Posts Worst July Since 1956 courtesy of ZeroEdge.
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QE ain't f**king doing anything for the real economy...
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Q2 GDP Revised To 6.6%, Missing Expectations; Core Inflation Hits Highest Since 1983
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Record Margin Debt
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