Browse Stacks: Business: Economy


Snag_52a85f2d.png (1280×704)
Snag_52a85f2d.png (1280×704)
Used car prices
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
massive H&S forming
Baby Bear
2023-12-07_09-18-27.jpg (1280×930)
2023-12-07_09-18-27.jpg (1280×930)
So Obamacare has caused insurance premiums to go up hundreds of percent. Terrific!
Tim Knight
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interest vs military budgetr.jpg (987×548)
Tim Knight
household debt service payments.jpg (1280×720)
household debt service payments.jpg (1280×720)
Tim Knight
1
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Tim Knight
Debt-To-GDP-Growth-2009-Present-1024x565.jpg (1024×565)
Debt-To-GDP-Growth-2009-Present-1024x565.jpg (1024×565)
Tim Knight
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F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
Silver Singularity
2
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3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
Silver Singularity
4
2JUN20.jpg
2JUN20.jpg
Silver Singularity
3
1JUN20.png
1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
Silver Singularity
bfm6FA1.jpg (1023×607)
bfm6FA1.jpg (1023×607)
The headline factory orders rose just 0.4% MoM (half the 0.8% MoM expected) and worse still, the March data was re...
Tim Knight
bfmEBF7.jpg (1023×612)
bfmEBF7.jpg (1023×612)
Core factory orders (ex-transports) was even worse, dropping 0.2% MoM (+0.2% MoM exp) - the third straight monthly...
Tim Knight
the next bubble AI.jpg (1076×621)
the next bubble AI.jpg (1076×621)
Tim Knight
2
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redemption.jpg (600×412)
This represents PURE PROFIT for gift card sellers
Tim Knight
global EPS BOfA collapse.jpg (686×393)
global EPS BOfA collapse.jpg (686×393)
Global EPS growth on course for -10-15% YoY in H2’23
Tim Knight
ISM below 45_0.jpg (678×404)
ISM below 45_0.jpg (678×404)
ISM < 45 = Recession
Tim Knight
1
PMI vs negative payrolls.jpg (723×487)
PMI vs negative payrolls.jpg (723×487)
46.3 means "manufacturing contraction on fu...
Tim Knight
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bfmC62D.jpg (990×652)
US unemployment is now worse than Russian unemployment...
Tim Knight
FDIC net unrealized losses.jpg (1004×767)
FDIC net unrealized losses.jpg (1004×767)
Tim Knight
Empire State manufacturing survey
Empire State manufacturing survey
Cost-push inflation? I don't think so. Not in manufacturing. Prices along with several other indicators tanking in...
NFTRH
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wm6al35xvcma1.png (680×369)
Tim Knight
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2023-03-03_05-06-09.jpg (802×413)
Tim Knight
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1yrcb6chkpia1.png (1587×902)
Tim Knight
January Payrolls +517,000 | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
January Payrolls +517,000 | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Hazel servicing the guests aboard the Good Ship Lollipop... boy is she ever servicing them!
NFTRH
1
uxtthjvu3a9a1.jpg (640×606)
uxtthjvu3a9a1.jpg (640×606)
Tim Knight
5
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
NFTRH
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2022-12-18_12-00-18.png (500×376)
Tim Knight
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zcm00s7wlq2a1.jpg (960×625)
Tim Knight
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chart8.png (517×384)
Tim Knight
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r1kgo7m4y61a1.jpg (640×490)
Tim Knight
2
2y10s spread.jpg (689×476)
2y10s spread.jpg (689×476)
2y10y curve closed at the most inverted level in 40 years last night
Tim Knight
Contra Corner Why The Fed Is Gonna Break Some Serious Financial Furniture - David Stockman's Contra Corner
Contra Corner Why The Fed Is Gonna Break Some Serious Financial...
Tim Knight
qoce0cajtgx91.jpg (640×384)
qoce0cajtgx91.jpg (640×384)
Tim Knight
2022-10-28_05-44-50.jpg (938×572)
2022-10-28_05-44-50.jpg (938×572)
Americans' Savings Rate Plunges Near Record Lows As Inflation Overwhelms Income Growth
Tim Knight
1
Contra Corner The Folly Of Central Banking In One Country, Parts 1 & 2 - David Stockman's Contra Corner
Contra Corner The Folly Of Central Banking In One Country, Parts...
Household Financial Asset Versus Nominal GDP, 1987-2021
Tim Knight
1
2022-10-18_11-00-58.jpg (1015×614)
2022-10-18_11-00-58.jpg (1015×614)
The latest recession probability models by Bloomberg economists Anna Wong and Eliza Winger forecast a higher recessio...
Tim Knight
FdscXfAWIBY2FrP (1092×817)
FdscXfAWIBY2FrP (1092×817)
It's just all so beautiful..........
Tim Knight
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2022-09-20_08-16-39.jpg (640×495)
Tim Knight
1
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2022-09-16_11-49-51.jpg (977×530)
Tim Knight
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2022-09-16_09-48-30.jpg (856×527)
Tim Knight
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2022-09-16_09-30-37.jpg (973×504)
Tim Knight
2022-09-01_07-02-31.jpg (973×539)
2022-09-01_07-02-31.jpg (973×539)
US Manufacturing Surveys Signal Weakest Growth In Over 2 Years, Prices Paid Plunges
Tim Knight
2022-08-15_16-37-11.jpg (825×612)
2022-08-15_16-37-11.jpg (825×612)
PMI survey point to continued deceleration that appears to be steeper/more severe than what we saw in 2019.
Tim Knight
empire state 2022-08-15_7-19-49.jpg (1237×610)
empire state 2022-08-15_7-19-49.jpg (1237×610)
NY Fed Manufacturing Unexpectedly Craters In 2nd Biggest Drop On Record
Tim Knight
4
2022-08-01_09-53-03_0.jpg (966×594)
2022-08-01_09-53-03_0.jpg (966×594)
Atlanta Fed Slashes Q3 GDP Growth As PMI Plunges
Tim Knight
1
FYCc943XwAE1w5d (650×498)
FYCc943XwAE1w5d (650×498)
Recession is here, no matter what the Biden blog tries to redefine it as........
Tim Knight
4
fredgraph.png (700×716)
fredgraph.png (700×716)
Retail Inventory-to-Sales Ratio For General Merchandise Stores, 2007-2022
Tim Knight
image - 2022-07-15T071246.477.png (1280×777)
image - 2022-07-15T071246.477.png (1280×777)
Tim Knight
1
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2022-07-14_19-04-32.jpg (1141×719)
China GDP Growth Plunges In Q2
Tim Knight
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2022-07-12_10-41-48.jpg (464×677)
For four of the last 5 months, the S&P 500 has fallen by an average 0.78% on CPI day...
Tim Knight
2
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2022-07-12_07-37-23.jpg (1056×660)
Tim Knight
1
2022-06-30_09-06-15_0.jpg (1084×709)
2022-06-30_09-06-15_0.jpg (1084×709)
The US economy saw false hopes of recovery in Q1 of 2022, only to have that slapped in the face of optimists in Q2...
Tim Knight
current account US vs Russia.jpg (1273×619)
current account US vs Russia.jpg (1273×619)
Tim Knight
2022-06-15_16-31-07_0.jpg (1002×565)
2022-06-15_16-31-07_0.jpg (1002×565)
'Misery' Index (adjusted using CPI and LFPR) to its worst since Jimmy Carter was president...
Tim Knight
3
savings rate May 2022.png (1171×721)
savings rate May 2022.png (1171×721)
Tim Knight
3
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2022-06-01_10-31-17.jpg (991×650)
And longer-term, the trend towards stagflation could not be clearer...
Tim Knight
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2022-06-01_10-42-19.jpg (659×491)
Economy projection slashed severely (no surprise there)
Tim Knight
1
2022-05-16_12-05-31.jpg (989×663)
2022-05-16_12-05-31.jpg (989×663)
This morning's 8-sigma miss to the downside for Empire Fed manufacturing dragged the US Macro Surprise Index into...
Tim Knight
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fredgraph.png (700×868)
Holy crap......US Trade Balance, 1992-2022
Tim Knight
3
2022-05-05_05-32-10.jpg (937×597)
2022-05-05_05-32-10.jpg (937×597)
Disastrous Q1 productivity report, which posted at -7.5%, the biggest drop since 1947.
Tim Knight
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gdp-now.png (656×449)
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecasts Negligable Growth
Tim Knight
1
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2022-04-26_05-31-54.jpg (1176×685)
US Durable Goods Orders Growth Slowest In 13 Months
Tim Knight
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2022-04-11_09-19-25.jpg (1004×626)
Tim Knight
3
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
You can’t make this up. During the past nearly quarter of a century, the BOJ’s balance sheet (purple line) has...
Tim Knight
3
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
Tim Knight
Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
Tim Knight
AVvXsEg2BkOwb70XcfN5KbHoLhZvFr_z_EJux3L8eFP0H_fVN3dhTiekzguE_Zzy8P7HFzEzRQc4Y2TfYCUemnxM5JrfB7WQNzihsE8iyQref0wTC2FvbjfE8Xv0rfzZ
AVvXsEg2BkOwb70XcfN5KbHoLhZvFr_z_EJux3L8eFP0H_fVN3dhTiekzguE_Zzy8P7...
Oil is just about the only thing that we still make here.
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
US Trade Deficit On Goods And Services, 1990-2022
Tim Knight
GDPNow.jpeg (1226×592)
GDPNow.jpeg (1226×592)
GDP forecast
Tim Knight
1
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Total Business Debt As % of GDP, 1971-2020
Tim Knight
1
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Index of US Unit Labor Costs, 1971-2021
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Imports of Nondurable Goods, 1997-2021
Tim Knight
1
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
Real physical output of nondurables in the US clocked in 1% below the level first achieved 25 years ago in August 1997!
Tim Knight
1
caixing PMI.jpg (1267×633)
caixing PMI.jpg (1267×633)
China PMIs Show Economy On Verge Of Contraction Amid Continued Growth Slowdown
Tim Knight
2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
Atlanta Fed Shocker: US Economy On Verge Of Contraction
Tim Knight
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to stonk analysts' P/E projections had a lot of work to do as of a week ago (1/20). Probably...
NFTRH
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to SPX (technicals) finally closed...
NFTRH
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fully bottlenecked.png (455×282)
Tim Knight
1
earnings2.jpg (994×659)
earnings2.jpg (994×659)
Real wages are SHRINKING
Tim Knight
1
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market-capt-to-bull-market.png (670×383)
Tim Knight
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taxis1.png (736×429)
Boom and Bust of taxi medallions
Tim Knight
2
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Real-Makret-Cap-To-GDP-Ratio-110921-1024x661.png (1024×661)
Tim Knight
1
Household-Ownership-of-Equities.png (889×521)
Household-Ownership-of-Equities.png (889×521)
Tim Knight
1
bofa investment clock nov 2021.jpg (656×554)
bofa investment clock nov 2021.jpg (656×554)
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Total Household Debt Versus Wage And Salary Income, 1971-2021
Tim Knight
1
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
US Trade Balance In Goods, 2018-2021
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Personal Consumption Expenditures On Goods, 2009-2021
Tim Knight
china import export growth.jpg (1261×646)
china import export growth.jpg (1261×646)
China Trade Surplus Hits Record Just As US Trade Deficit Rises To All-Time High
Tim Knight
FDbYGNdXoAcbBGU (700×500)
FDbYGNdXoAcbBGU (700×500)
Food costs surging
Tim Knight
5
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Y/Y Change In Retail Wages & Salaries
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Retail Inventories To Sales Ratio (Months)
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Net Private Domestic Investment As A Percent of GDP, 1960-2020
Tim Knight
unnamed - 2021-10-28T083208.975.jpg (512×254)
unnamed - 2021-10-28T083208.975.jpg (512×254)
GDP Misses As US Economy Grows Only 2% In Q3, Weakest Growth Since Covid Struck
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (1000×470)
fredgraph.png (1000×470)
On the manufacturing side of the scale, the index number reported for September 2021 was exactly the same as that...
Tim Knight
atlanta fed gdp now.jpg (1267×684)
atlanta fed gdp now.jpg (1267×684)
In its latest GDPNow forecast published moments ago, the Atlanta Fed slashed its estimate for real GDP growth in t...
Tim Knight
Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade 'top-down'...
NFTRH
bfmE05F.jpg (1015×570)
bfmE05F.jpg (1015×570)
Tim Knight
1
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GDP-Government-Interventions-062931_1.png (812×445)
Tim Knight
1
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
NFTRH
1