The Greek Gap

By -

Good morning, everyone. The jobs report just rolled off the presses, and it’s a fairly blase “meh” report, which is pumping up index futures since the notion of an interest rate hike this year becomes more giggle-worthy. As we await the opening bell, I wanted to briefly share one mildly interesting chart, which is one of those “one that got away” type situations. It’s the Greek ETF:

0702-GREK

See that gap-fill from yesterday? Well that’s the level which, on Tuesday, I marked as the “I sure hope it rallies to here some day so I can short it” point. I wasn’t really watching it, but little did I know it would rally there almost instantly, beautifully filled the gap, before plummeting beneath all that overhead supply (tinted in green).

Shrug. No big deal. It’s not like I would have shorted all that much anyway. Suffice it to say that the Greek stock market looks dead for the foreseeable future (which, these days, is probably the next 17 minutes or so).

SPX Candle Review of the First Half of 2015

By -

Q2 of 2015 closed today (Tuesday, June 30th). The following describes candle action, to date, in four timeframes — namely, Yearly, Quarterly, Monthly, and Weekly timeframes.

Each candle shown on the following chart of the SPX represents One Year.

The first half of this year is depicted by a “doji,” as of the close on June 30th — spelling “indecision” by this equity market. So far, the close is a mere 4.21 points higher than its open on January 2nd…not much of a gain in six months…no surprise, since price has been held back by the 161.8% External Fibonacci Retracement level (taken from the last major swing high in 2007 to the 2009 low), which is a typical major Fibonacci profit-taking level.

Each candle on this next chart of the SPX represents One Quarter of One Year. (more…)