Date: February 8, 2014

$VXNsc.png

$VXNsc.png

Another potential sign THE top is in. Take care. Enjoy the day. T.

Tomb

20140208_long5.png (1242×881)

20140208_long5.png (1242×881)

Crude oil since 1860

20140208_long4.png (1238×887)

20140208_long4.png (1238×887)

Gold prices since 1790

2

20140208_long3.png (1240×882)

20140208_long3.png (1240×882)

Commodity prices since 1790

20140208_long1.png (1241×881)

20140208_long1.png (1241×881)

Stocks since 1789

Hi to everyone, this is something new on Slope of Hope (unless you have been following this blog since inception…).Retracement Levels Ltd. publishes Quantitative Market Analysis like this for the SPX index since 2008, roughly 1600 d...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Before we publish the ES Quantitative Analysis for today, a couple of clarifications:1) the Analysis product presented here is NOT a trading system, in other words we simply use our quantitative metrics to analyze the chances (odds) f...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

New Weekly Markets Analysis PDF file.
Updated charts analysis and updated trade setups status.
Have a great week

New Weekly Markets Analysis PDF file. Updated charts analysis...

Discussing about the $SPY in the Weekly Markets Analysis http://marketzone.tumblr.com/post/76023828608/new-weekly-mar...

marketzone

Note: to complete the transition from “TA” mindset to “quant trading” mindset, we have completely removed the charts from our published market research. The focus now is exclusively directed on price levels and their probabilisti...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing 0% odds to GO LONG. On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1734, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1822.50% 26.09% odds – First valid level to go LONG...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

All right, a couple of notes before we begin the ES analysis for today:1) someone pointed out that a Stop Loss at 1734 is very far away, adding that no one sane in his mind would take 100 points in his face like that. First of all, th...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing 0% odds to GO LONG.On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1723, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1816.75, 26.09% odds -? First valid level to go LONG f...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Note: when a gauge shows 0% daily odds it means the price is already moving in that direction. We gauge the ODDS to have a TREND REVERSAL, so if the market is going up the odds to have a LONG trend reversal are ZERO% because it is alr...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

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TO GO LONG ANALYSISThe CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing coin flip odds to GO LONG.On the LONG Odds Table below we have the following relevant levels:1741.50, 100% odds – Stop Loss level.1826.75, 28.98% odds -? First valid level to...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Notes:1) We know that our analysis is completely different from anything seen before and also it is hard to swallow for die-hard technical chartists, so we want to thank you all for your continued interest and support.2) We have tried...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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Here is a question that we have often heard in regard to our approach to market analysis:“You never mention the news. Don’t you think the news affect market behavior?”It is a legitimate question, and the answer is: “Our model alr...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Hi, today we are unfortunately able to post the entire analysis, but here is a brief mini post with one screenshot and some comments:- the index yesterday tanked and reached price levels with good odds to go LONG: if you went LONG and...

ES Quantitative Analysis – Mini Post | Slope of Hope

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When we started to post our analysis a few days ago, someone in the forum commented that our Stop Loss was too far away…In the last 2 days the ES tanked more than 50 points, so now our Stop Loss at 1728.50 does not look that far fetche...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Futures are rising at the moment of writing, and yesterday the ES reached VERY oversold levels according to our PRICE STRETCH and TIME STRETCH measurements: 1767 was the low of the day, just below our 1770 level with 97.18% odds (see...

ES Quantitative Analysis SHORT | Slope of Hope

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In the last few days you should have seen quite well how to use the Odds Comparators in action. Here is a brief re-cap: when the odds for a LONG trade become good (see image below, black arrows pointing at the end of red candles), we...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Before beginning our ES Quantitative Analysis for today, let us address the issue of the coupon code kindly mentioned by Tim in this post.The coupon code was valid for a set number of users, when that number was reached the coupon sto...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

All right, let’s pick up the wreckage from yesterday’s trading day and let’s try to make a bit of order.As you know yesterday we theorized that the market was bottoming in the blue-circled area in the chart below, the odds were goo...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

Very brief post today, just to provide some market direction guidance.It seems that everybody is betting on typical zigzags that see a market bounce and then go down again (see below).What is the problem with the above?Simple: it’s...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

Funatwork

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This is a brief post intended to highlight something interesting.The ES yesterday closed up at 1744, weak bounce so far, not even a dead cat bounce after the dive it did two days ago.In the chart below you can see the “to go SHORT...

ES Quantitative Analysis | Slope of Hope

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ES SHORT

ES SHORT

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ES LONG

ES LONG

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Trading channels: Weekend charts

Trading channels: Weekend charts

How far does the bounce go?

Burak

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