Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Some Favorites

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Today is very "graphics-free", I realize. I just want to keep throwing tidbits of good things I am seeing; here is a list of the best shorts I've got now. I have doubled these positions today even with the Dow below 7,000! That's how much I believe in the long-term prospects of these shorts.

ACS
ADM
AEM
AMT
AU
AUY
BBY
BLL
CCC
CCI
CHSI
DF
DRI
EAT
FFIV
GES
GG
GMCR
GPRO
HANS
HOC
JWN
LH
LIHR
MA
MCK
MICC
NEM
NFLX
NTRS
POT
PTRY
SBAC
SLW
TNH
TRLG
VFC

Lottery Plays

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It's probably clear from recent posts that I am uncharacteristically in a funk. I shouldn't be, because the market is plunging to new lows and my portfolio is doing superbly well. But times like this make me nervous.

I reversed my /ES position when we were down at 707 and am (as of this writing) long the /ES. That will disappear if we drop below 705.

I have put together this list of "lottery plays" and stops, but I've got to tell you, even though these are the best 20 charts I was able to find out of 400 possibilities, they still stink. I'm not even sure I will enter these positions.

ABD .66
AMD 1.85
ANN 5.79
APL 4.45
BKD 3.02
BPHX 1.39
CAR .37
CCRT 1.75
GKK .68
JBLU 3.08
LNG 3.29
LVLT .59
MDZ 5.76
MTL 3.17
OSK 4.23
PUK 7.14
STV 5.89
TCK 2.77
TNS 6.22
XRX 5.36 

Under-Committed

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I'll tell you my biggest problem right now: everything is going my way.

My shorts are doing fantastic. Gold is getting clobbered. OK, OK, the few longs I had are stinking up the joint, but they represent maybe 5% of my portfolio, if that (probably more like 2%).

But……..I have a mountain – -and I'm talking about seven figures – – in buying power sitting around, and it's killing me.

I don't want to overdo things, because I am understandably nervous about screwing up royally. So I am only half-deployed.

I'll say this, though – – no matter how low these indexes look, most of my shorts look like they've only started to fall; the possibilities are incredible.