Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Crumbling VIX

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The $VIX is a curious creature to analyze, since it is such a different beast than most other kinds of charts. To get some fresh perspective, let’s look at some cruder granularities of this sentiment measurement.

First, let’s look at it from a quarterly perspective going back a third of a century. As you can see, the spike we enjoyed in volatility is very prominent, being the third-highest peak in this entire data set. The “Liberation Day” excitement (which feels like, oh, about 70 years ago at this point) was all too brief, but now the VIX is once again at an extraordinarily dull mid-teens level where it typically slumbers.

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Sentiment Turning Contrary Bearish

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What was good for the bullish goose (sentiment extremes in March-April) is going to be good for bearish gander as well

Excerpted from the May 11 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 862:

US Stock Market Sentiment

Dumb money apparently thinks that now that Trump is making a few sounds about making nicey nice with some trade partners, all’s well again. Dumb money is gulping down stonks even more aggressively now, while Smart money is fading. A degrading contrary-sentiment picture here.

market sentiment
Sentimentrader.com
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