Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Something is Broken (by Xerxes)

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So, I know I have my bias. Controlling that bias is what ensures I stay solvent and profitable. But in trading nobody gets rid of their bias, they merely control it. I can go long or short and enjoy the profits and handle the losses just fine. I prefer bear markets because I am simply more comfortable trading them, the profits come more easily for me personally, and the world makes a little more sense to me. When we are in the midst of bull markets, I admit I am just not comfortable.

I have learned to trade them a bit better, but at my core I feel like bull markets tend to benefit the masses for ineptness. Now before anyone gets in a tizzy, I’m not trying to say, “All bulls this” and “All bears that”. What I mean is that bear markets, in my perspective, tend to separate the kids from the adults, so to speak. When in the midst of a market storm, there are those who know how to play, those who know they don’t do well and stand on the sidelines, and then those who get smashed to bits. Bear markets feel like a rite of passage. If you can survive them, then you can survive anything.

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Amid The Political Drama

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There are plenty of risks in the equity and bond markets this year, and the Greenland drama over the last week has been a good illustration of that. There was a lot of political drama last year and so far this year it seems that might even accelerate.

Next year Donald Trump will probably be a lame duck President without control of the House (very likely) and possibly also the Senate (theoretically possible but unlikely), and that may slow the chaos down, though he will still likely have a lot more power than lame duck Presidents have traditionally wielded.

In my post on Monday 19th December I was looking at a setup for possible new all time highs on SPX, QQQ, DIA and IWM in the Santa rally, and some of that played out over the remainder of December.

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