Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
I Heartily Recommend this Book
Over the past couple of weeks, I have had a marvelous time reading this book by James Rickards named Currency Wars. As you might guess, it is an analysis of how countries use their currencies for whatever self-interested intentions they may have (either good or bad). I love history, and the way this book weaves together history and economics makes it hard for me to put down. It also makes what's going on right now easier for me to grasp (and fear).
In 1971, President Nixon imposed national price controls and took the United States off the gold standard, an extreme measure intended to end an ongoing currency war that had destroyed faith in the U.S. dollar. Today we are engaged in a new currency war, and this time the consequences will be far worse than those that confronted Nixon.
Currency wars are one of the most destructive and feared outcomes in international economics. At best, they offer the sorry spectacle of countries' stealing growth from their trading partners. At worst, they degenerate into sequential bouts of inflation, recession, retaliation, and sometimes actual violence. Left unchecked, the next currency war could lead to a crisis worse than the panic of 2008.
Currency wars have happened before-twice in the last century alone-and they always end badly. Time and again, paper currencies have collapsed, assets have been frozen, gold has been confiscated, and capital controls have been imposed. And the next crash is overdue. Recent headlines about the debasement of the dollar, bailouts in Greece and Ireland, and Chinese currency manipulation are all indicators of the growing conflict."
It's pretty unusual for me to make a post about any book (except for one I've written), but Currency Wars is an exception. You can get it by clicking here. If you're interested in a general list of books I suggest for traders, it's right here.
Market on Pause (by Closing Basis)
Hello Slopers,
I'm sure that most of you like myself have found this week to be frustrating at the least (YES! – Editor). My trading time frame is days to weeks, so in times like these after it becomes clear the market is content to consolidate and sit still for a little while (which isn't really surprising after last week's gains), I know it's time for me to kick back, watch less (we'll see how that goes), and just wait for a setup. I for one will be glad to see the market return to looking ahead more than 3 months at a time (or 3 weeks).
If I Must……
Well, like I said in yesterday's video, this market is way too much work. We saw a beautiful fall blossom early this morning, but once the market dared be down an entire hour of the trading day, TPTB decided enough was enough and put an end to it. A monstrous profit on my screen has been reduced to a shadow of its former self. Thanks, Merkel.
I choked back the vomit and bought some carefully-selected long positions, along with a big DIA position, which – – if the market does break higher – – seems like the best place to be. Anyway, here are the longs and their stops. I don't have the stomach to put charts up for them.
