Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Chart on Amazon (by Mike Paulenoff)

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It is interesting that into the Valentines Day recovery rally high at 193.57, which peaked just shy of fully testing a significant resistance line at 195.00 (at the time), Amazon (AMZN) pivoted to the downside and attracted the ire of a Wall Street research analyst (MS), who downgraded the stock to Equal Weight from Overweight.

Be that as it may, from a technical perspective, let's notice that the sharp decline nonetheless has not violated the lower zone of the 8-week base pattern, in the vicinity of 172.00 to 168.00, at least not so far. Thus, the acute weakness still must be considered another test of support within a still-developing base formation that remains very much intact.

That said, I do not yet have confirmation that the decline from 193.57 to 175.14 is a completed leg within the base. My micro pattern and momentum work suggest strongly that AMZN still has unfinished business on the downside that will retest the Feb 1 low at 172.00 prior to my expectation of a powerful upside reversal.

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Hyperdynamics Follow-Up

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Last month, on January 6th, I did a post suggesting symbol HDY as a speculative short play. I've marked with a red arrow when I made the post.

The chart pushed a little higher from where I suggested it, but as you can see, it worked out pretty well as a short, down about two-thirds from where I mentioned it. Unfortunately, this was one of those very rare instances that my broker couldn't find a single share of stock, so I didn't partake. But maybe one or two of you did………..in any case, in spite of being a little early, this was a good one.

0216-hdy