Interest Rate Break

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Here on Slope, we’ve been watching $TNX and TLT for quite some time, waiting for a definitive move. Interest rates have been inching down lately, and if it breaks that horizontal, I think we can finally rest assured that rates are going to be firmly moving lower for a while.

0723-TNX

At the same time, naturally, bonds have been strengthening. The move above the descending trendline was the “all clear”, and bond bulls are probably in for happy times ahead.

0723-TLT