Euro and USO

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Just a couple of quick "for what it's worth" charts…….

First is our old favorite, EUR/USD. This has been all over the map today. It shot up strong this morning, then it took a dip (I find it interesting that GDX and GLD have been absolute resolution in the face of that weakness; they barely even blinked). I've said it before, and I'll say it again: until the EUR/USD falls away (and, thus, indicates a stronger dollar), we're not going to get any sustained equity downturn.

0903-eur

Another chart is of USO. This ETF, an "old faithful" for swing trading, has broken its trendline. Nothing dramatic, but I think the energy markets are starting to tip their hand (or, in the case of UNG, both hands have been chopped off).

0903-uso