Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Significant Corrective Low for S&P 500?

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Although the Emini S&P 500 plunged beneath the lower-support boundary line of its Apr-Jun price channel at 2070 and then followed through to the downside to slice beneath a cluster of its prior significant June pivot lows at 2061 to 2062, the selling pressure managed to abate just north of the most critical recent low at 2050 established on May 7.

Purely from a technical perspective, the fact that the index recovered sharply after a near 1% penetration of its lower-channel boundary is the first sign of a potentially meaningful low in progress.

That said, given the ongoing headline risk, we cannot and should not rule out another swoon or two in the upcoming hours that retests the overnight lows. If the tests are successful, then the likelihood that the e-SPU has put in a significant corrective low increases substantially.

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Originally published on MPTrader.com.

Completed Correction for AAPL?

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My near-term pattern and momentum work on Apple (AAPL) indicate that all of the action off of the March 19 high at 129.25 into last Friday’s low at 125.88 is a completed minor correction, within a still incomplete upleg off of the March 12 low at 121.63.

If accurate, that means AAPL should be nearing upside acceleration that hurdles 129.25 towards a retest of its all-time high at 133.66 (to 135.00) in the upcoming hours.

Article & chart by Mike Paulenoff, MPTrader.com.

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Inverse Drumbeat for Yield and Gold

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A combination of factors — oil & copper prices, sluggish wage growth, weakness in equities today — are pressuring 10-year Yield, which is now at 1.93%, or 10 bps below Friday’s Jobs Report recovery high.

Only a sharp rally above 2.03% will argue technically that Yield has put in a meaningful bottom in and around the 1.90% area.

Conversely, Gold, it is acting extremely well, given the constant headwind of a rising US Dollar (DXY) and otherwise growing deflationary perceptions.

Something is going on in the Gold market that is grinding it higher in an impressive display of relative strength.

My next optimal target zone is $1240-$1244. Key near-term support rests at $1218.00.

Originally published on MPTrader.com.

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