Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Pause in Flight-to-Safety Trade (Mike Paulenoff)

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What is fascinating about the enclosed daily charts of spot gold and nearby 10-year T-note futures is that both major trends remain very much intact and dominant despite the recent weakness. In fact, the weakness has NOT violated any meaningful prior pivot low — in gold at the May 21 low of 1165.74 and in the T-notes at the June 21 low of 119-24.
Purely from a technical perspective, the 6.5% decline in gold and the 1.5% decline in T-notes appear to be "normal, minor" corrections within the larger uptrends. To listen to bond and stock market pundits claim that a mass exodus out of bonds and, to a lesser extent, out of gold will now drive equity prices much higher seems to belie what these charts are telling us — that the flight to safety trade is undergoing a pause that refreshes, rather than a total reversal…at least for now.


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Originally published on MPTrader.com

Chart on SRS (Mike Paulenoff)

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My overall work on the UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (NYSE: SRS) indicates that the upmove from the Jun 21 low at 24.07 to the Jul 6 high at 32.20 completed the initial upleg of a larger, intermediate-term advance. If accurate this means that from in and around the 27.50/00 area, the SRS will pivot to the upside into a new upleg that projects into the 34.50-35.00 target zone. At this juncture, only continued weakness that violates 26.00 will invalidate the timing of the anticipated next advance.

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Originally published on MPTrader.com