Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Irrational Protuberance

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I must say, it’s heartening to see the entire quantum sector burst into flames based on a single off-the-cuff remark by Jen Shun Huang, but the most amusing to me by far is QSI, which I wrote about in some detail on December 30th. I have seen the AI-article-maker robots twist themselves into pretzels trying to explain the rise in this stock, since they couldn’t reach the true but insane conclusion that it went up just because it had the word “Quantum” in its company name. It any case, it has lost about 50% of its value in a matter of hours.

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Crumblin’ Down

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Happy December 26th to you Slope. As we begin to close the book on 2024 and look forward towards 2025, I thought it was a good time to look back at my primary call for 2024. This year I was focused on Tom McClellan’s 10-year crude oil analog, and what it was forecasting for the 2024-2026 time period. Let’s take a look.

You can read Tom discussing the analog here, just after the 2020 Covid crash. In the article he states:

“I first discovered this relationship back in 2008, when I looked at a log-scaled long-term chart of crude oil prices and noticed that it looked an awful lot like the chart of the DJIA.  So, I put the two on a chart together but was not really satisfied with the way that the pattern details lined up.  After some tinkering, I found that offsetting the crude oil plot forward by 10 years made for a much better fit between the two plots.

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