Here is the S&P fund, symbol KBE, representing the bank sector. It is extraordinarily overbought.

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Here is the S&P fund, symbol KBE, representing the bank sector. It is extraordinarily overbought.

The relentless march higher for credit card heavyweights Visa and MasterCard may be over (and take American Express with it), should PayPal prove to be the canary in the credit coal mine.
Why? Their charts look eerily similar, with Paypal potentially being the leader.

Earnings season is upon us, and a couple of big investment banks reported this morning. JP Morgan, true to form, blew the doors off, and they’re hanging out at new lifetime highs. Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, has gapped down, and it seems to me the trendline it already broke is indicative of the breakdown that is transpiring.

This past week, one sector which took it on the chin was the brokerages. The reason is easy enough to understand. Two important revenue sources for them are (1) commissions and (2) interest on deposits. And yet (1) commissions are going to $0 across the board and (2) interest rates are plunging, and ultimately, I believe, will be negative. So here is the kind of catastrophe these companies are facing, with most of them down nearly 50% from their highs last year:
