Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Important Crypto Inflection

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In my last post on Wednesday 22nd October I was looking at the major support being tested on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Solana (SOLUSD), and Ethereum (ETHUSD), and saying that sustained breaks below those support levels would boost the case that the bull market on Crypto has already ended, barring possible high retests as part of the topping process. This was and is a major inflection point, and the direction of the break from this inflection point is still in the balance.

I was noting that the last two bull market highs on Bitcoin were in December 2017 and November 2021, close to the end of the year and four years apart, so the end of 2025 is the obvious period to be looking for an end to the current bull market, and I’ve had that pencilled in at the likely topping area all year.

On the Bitcoin weekly chart the first big support is the weekly middle band, which was tested as support for six or the seven weeks before Bitcoin broke below it at the weekly close before last. That failed to confirm the support break at the end of last week with Bitcoin closing back above it. Bitcoin is back below that again at the moment.

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Splategy, Inc.

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Michael Saylor is heralded at some kind of business super genius. I’m not so sure. He has staked his company’s entire fortune and future on one and only one thing: Bitcoin’s price. I think there’s no middleground: he will either succeed wildly and be heralded as a legend, or he is going to create one of the biggest corporate fiascos in business history.

One thing I can say for sure, however: his company’s stock price is down 50% over the past eleven months, and in this laughably over supported, overvalued market, that’s pretty pathetic.