The monthly retail sales just came out, and they were much stronger than anticipated.

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While it is always tempting to defy strength, it usually goes badly. For instance, Starbucks was a lousy stock, and I bought puts on it, and those puts doubled in value. Costco, however, is a fantastic stock, and it’s insanely overvalued (a p/e of 55 for a seller of giant mayonnaise jars and packs of AAA batteries), but I’ve lost money trying to go against it. I will say, long-term, this price looks like it’s just BEGGING to be shorted, but I’m not touching it. Maybe you should.

I am also the happy owner of September $70 puts, presently up 20% from purchase. Remember, I am acquiring these puts dirt-cheap at these laughably inflated market prices.

Here are some INCREDIBLY successful stocks which are INCREDIBLY expensive right now which you might want to consider going bearish against: Costco and Casey’s:

Here are the monster retailers that sell all the stuff that people simply couldn’t live without.
