Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Nathaniel Goodwin Update (by Nathaniel Goodwin)

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Hi all!

I’ve been extremely busy recently, and just realized that I haven’t made a post or called my mother in a long time. She’s probably worried sick.

I’m currently on tour with my Christian death metal band “Aborted Baby Lucifer”, our fans call us “ABL” for short. We sing about doing charity work, loving each other, flying back to medieval times to abort the devil before he is born and has a chance to reign hellfire upon people of earth, abstinence, spreading the good word and disemboweling demons. Pastor Lloyd just told me we have two more months until the tour is over, so I hope to be posting more once things settle down a bit.

When I’m not shredding on stage, I’ve been ripping the forex and futures market. I haven’t been very comfortable trying to swing trade stocks or index ETFs long or short the past couple of months, and I wanted to focus more on my day trading skills.

Psychologically, this is much better for me right now at this point in time. I really have no idea where the market is going; I think we could just as easily go to 1350 as we could 950 here. Anyone who tells me we are "definitely" going to the extreme in one direction or another within the next couple of months, I ignore totally at this point in time. I’ve seen traders in chat rooms and on websites flipping back and forth every two hours; some seem to have been infected with bear or bull disease in their brains right now and refuse to let go of a position when it is wrong, because “the market has to crash and burn” or “the market is going to 1500”. When they lose; they blame Bernanke or Goldman, and tell themselves we have a rigged market. Those dudes need to chill out, turn off their computer, put on some "ABL" and think about using hard stops. Personally,I don’t know shit right now, so I’m happy taking some coins on a daily basis if I can get them.

One thing that has caught my eye is the EUR/CHF currency pair. This is one I have been day trading and built a longer term position around. Really nice looking inverted head and shoulders, with an ideal target of 61.8% retracement around 1.5 . Will take some profits at 50% retracement if it gets there.

EUR-CHF copy

Another one I’ve been trading a bunch is the AUD/USD pair. This one has had a heck of a rally, and a nice pull back. Another small inverted head and shoulders could be forming. Been having a great time long and short with this one.

 

AUD-USD copy

I don’t like correlations, so I am playing currencies independently of the markets. I don’t care if the dollar rallies or collapses.

Remember last year at this time when it was “all about the dollar”… Then the dollar started to rally and it did not stop equities. Correlations work like everything else, until they don’t. I think every market should be played separately

ABL has a wedding to play Saturday in Tampa, then a church service in Jacksonville Sunday morning. So I’m outta here!

PS: Big ups for Tim Knight’s ProphetCharts. Prophet saved my butt.

PPS: Taz, don't bother asking about the chicks… Death Metal has fewer groupie babes than you would think. Christian Death Metal = even less, especially when you preach abstinence on stage.

Review of Griftopia

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Please Note: since Matt Taibbi tends to write with an R-Rated word processor, some of the quotations from the book are on the blue side. Please wear your special Provo Goggles when reading this post.

Last night, I finished reading Matt Taibbi's Griftopia (which is on Amazon here), and I enjoyed it. However, I wasn't knocked off my feet by it for reasons I shall cite in a moment.

To give you a flavor of the book, I will type in a few excerpts:

Politics: "If you want to understand why American is such a paradise for high-class thieves, just look at the way a manufactured movement like the Tea Party corrals and neutralizes public anger that otherwise should be sending pitchforks in the direction of downtown Manhattan….That's why it's so brilliant for the Tea Party to put forward as its leaders some of the most egregiously stupid morons on our great green earth….the Tea Party has made anti-intellectualism itself a rallying cry…..What they are, and they don't realize it, is an anachronism. They're fighting a 1960 battle in a world run by twenty-first-century crooks."

Government: "There are really two Americas, one for the grifter class, and one for everybody else. In everybody-else land, the world is small businesses and wage-warning employees, the government is something to be avoided, an overwhelming, all-powerful entity whose attentions usually presage some kind of financial setback, if not complete ruin. In the grifter world, however, government, is a slavish lapdog that the financial companies that will be the major players in this book use as a tool for making money……the new America, instead, is fast becoming a vast ghetto in which all of which us, conservatives and progressives, are being bled dry by a relatively tiny oligarchy of extremely clever financial criminals and their castrato henchmen in government, whose main job is to be good actors on TV and put on a good show."

Greenspan: "Former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan is that one-in-a-billion asshole who made America the dissembling mess that it is today. If his achievements were reversed, if this gnomish bug-eyed party crasher had managed to convert his weird social hang-ups into positive accomplishments, then today we'd be calling his career one of the greatest political fairy tales ever witnessed, an unlikeliest of ugly ducklings who through sheer pluck, cunning, and determination made it to the top and changed the world forever….[instead he] jacked himself off to the attentions of Wall Street for twenty consecutive years – in the process laying the foundation for a generation of orgiastic greed and overconsumption and turning the Federal Reserve into a permanent bailout mechanism for the super-rich." (note: there is an entire chapter devoted to Greenspan whose title, The Biggest Asshole in the Universe, tips you off as to Taibbi's disposition).

Mortgage Fiasco: "In this world, everybody kept up the con practically until they were in cuffs. It made financial sense to do so: the money was so big that it was cost-efficient (from a personal standpoint) for executives to chase massive short-term gains, no matter how ill-gotten, even knowing that the game would eventually be up. Because you got to keep the money either way, why not?"

Goldman: "One of the keys to talking to sources about any subject is clicking with their sense of humor, and I was noticing that with a lot of financial people I was calling, I was missing laugh cues whenever anyone mentioned the investment bank Goldman Sachs. No one ever just referenced 'Goldman'; they would say 'those motherfuckers' or 'those cocksuckers' or 'those motherfucking cocksucking assholes at Goldman Sachs.' It was a name spoken with such contempt that you could almost hear people holding the phone away from their faces as they talked, the way you do with the baggie you have to pick up after curbing your dog on the streets of New York."

Taibbi makes me look positively doe-eyed and optimistic. In any case, the first couple of chapters of the book are just terrific, but a good half of the book struck me as pissed-off filler about the health care system and commodities deregulation. On a scale of 1 to 10, I'd give the book about an 8, and I wanted to take the time to share with you some morsels so you could judge for yourself.

1111-Griftopia