Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Breathtaking Fall of Natural Gas

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I lost interest in UNG (the Hun's recommendations notwithstanding) quite some time ago, largely because it was so cheap that the position size would be unwieldy.  I was stunned today to see just how far this has fallen over the years.

It's a mystery to me why my utility bill from the good city of Palo Alto still hovers between $800 and $1000 every single month, but I think it has something to do with the fact that the geniuses at Palo Alto Utilities locked in their contract to purchase gas somewhere near the peak.

0112-UNG

The Bull Case (by Springheel Jack)

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I'm going to take a little time today to put the case for the new bull market from the October low. Negative divergences against equities here are very numerous, and for that reason bear market continuation looks more likely to me, but it would be a mistake to think that the bulls have no case here, and I'll be outlining what I see are the main planks of that case from a technical perspective.

In the short term support on the ES rising channel is clearly still holding, and until that breaks there's not much to see on the bear side here. The upper trendline of the channel is in the 1312 area, and ES has moved up an impressive nine points in the hour since I capped this chart to beat the last high. There might be more coming. Channel support is at 1282.5 this morning:

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Patience, Bears (by BBFinance)

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The force of correction is being held back artificially to lure in more late stage bulls. It is like a overflowing dam which is now ready to burst and sweep away everything in its path. The market is way overbought and way out of schedule for correction. I expect that prices will correct more than normal to bring it back on the track.

In the morning post (http://bbfinance.blogspot.com/2012/01/exciting-wednesday.html ) I said if for whatever reason the correction does not starts today do not be disheartened if you are short.  I said it will make another attempt to re-test the high and so it did. Although technically SPX closed in green, it did not take out yesterday’s high. And SPX is showing seven consecutive green hourly bars. Also VIX and SPX both closed in green today. From past experience I think the selling will start very soon, may be from tomorrow.

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