1250 in the Cards for S&P 500 Index?

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Possible scenario for the S&P 500 Index…it drops and holds below the Weekly consolidation level of 1340ish, as shown on the chart below, down to a Fibonacci and price confluence level of 1260/50 to form a potential right shoulder of an IH&S pattern or the handle of a cup & handle pattern before resuming its upward trek.

Probable scenario? Time will tell…