Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

ES Quantitative Analysis

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The ES in the last few days did not really go anywhere, and actually yesterday it closed (slightly) down. It is obviously unknown where it will go today, up or down, but should it continue to go down, it may reach somewhere between 1875 and the 1850 price area:Capture

The 1850~ price area is interesting because it offers good odds to go LONG, DAILY and WEEKLY (the MONTHLY odds around 1850 remain not good, so we cannot bet on a long-term MONTHLY reversal LONG, the price should go much lower for that, i.e. <=1740.75):

ES LONG

 

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A Few Noobs

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Over the course of the weekend, there was a raft of bad economic news from China, a completely unexplained disappearance of a large passenger jet, and a substantial massing of troops and supplies by the Russian military in the Ukraine. For all of this, we got a collapse in the S&P 500 today of 0.07%. Yes! Let the free-fall begin!

In any case, I did want to offer up seven interesting charts on the short side. A few of this are brand new, because I only discovered them myself while trolling though thousands of charts over the weekend. Enjoy! (more…)

‘Taper Pace May be Too Slow’

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Plosser: Taper Pace May be Too Slow

My second favorite Bad Cop says…

“We must back away from increasing the degree of policy accommodation in a manner commensurate with an improving economy,” Plosser told a panel in Paris. “Reducing the pace of asset purchases in measured steps is moving in the right direction, but the pace may leave us well behind the curve if the economy continues to play out according to the FOMC forecasts.” (more…)