Help Me, Obi-Wan Kenobi

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Of the past fifteen trading days, two – count ’em – TWO – have been down (and only slightly) as measured by the S&P 500. Since April 15, the S&P 500 is up about 7.5%. Every single day seems to bring a lifetime high – LIFETIME, mind you – to the stock market. You can imagine how delighted I am at all this. One wonders what on earth I’ll be able to write about this weekend.

In any event, the S&P 100, as shown below, is right at its long-term trendline. Next week sure as hell better start weakening, or else a bad situation is going to get a whole lot worse (and, with the VIX threatening to break into the single digits, anything is possible).

0606-OEX

As for the Russell 2000, which until May 15th was the last friend of the bears – – it really needs to stay beneath 1182.04, marked with the cyan tint below. We are approaching a decision point, folks, where we find out if the bears have even a prayer in 2014 or if this is just going to be another murderous repeat of the five years that preceded it.

0606-RUT