Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Hope Lives

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I was struck by this comment, which was the first one made in my Perfectly Pinned post from last night:

bkacj

I get the sense I’m being patted on the hand and told that Jerome Powell is now omnipotent, and – – as Janet Yellen said – – we will never have another financial crisis in our lifetimes.

I understand the sentiment, but I disagree. Not only do I think we’re going to get a financial crisis, but I think that Powell’s shameless plastering-over of our true problems is going to make the next crisis bigger than anything we’ve ever seen. At this point, I am most focused on what is going on with small caps, as illustrated by what is still a completely valid topping pattern (not yet complete) in the /RTY:

tiot

Exporting Deflation

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Three topics were dominating the news this morning: the Gates divorce, inflation, and the trade deficit.

I’ve got nothing to say about the Gates divorce, except that it’s shocking and saddening. I had always assumed their being a couple was eternal, but who knows what happened behind the scenes. I’ve got no chart for it.

As for the data news stories, I looked at our Economic Database for some charts. When I was growing up, inflation is all people thought about. Over the past thirty years, it had faded from the national conversation. Let’s just say I think it’s coming back in style and will be here for a long time to come.

slopechart FR T YIE
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