How Much Will They Give Us?

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Well, a big FOMC day is looming, and Ben (“Shalom for Brains”) Bernanke and Janet (“Gimme a Pair of Duracells – Quick!”) Yellen will be squatting over us all Wednesday at 11:00 a.m. Slope Time, with the bearded wonder mewing out his platitudes to the dim-witted public half an hour later. I am hoping my 75 short positions rush out onto the football field and form a magnificently obscene gesture, Stanford Marching Band style, once these yo-yos are done with their dirty work.

Of course, these two, and their cabal crew, are the sworn enemies of the champions of truth and justice (that would be us, in case you’re a slow Sloper), so it could get ugly. But I wanted to muse tonight as to how much the powers that be might permit the indexes to sink before they doing something Dramatic, in keeping with their Dual Mandate, which of course is to:

1. please Goldman Sachs; and

2. please J.P. Morgan

So below are various indexes and what I believe are realistic short-term goals (in teal) and medium-term goals (in yellow).

0319-NDX

0319-RUT

0319-SPX

The ES will probably doing its normal wild gyrations tomorrow, but I’ll get nervous if we manage to pound down to 1525. It would take a clear break of 1520 for us to get more ambitious.

0319-es

One last night – – for you Slope+ folks, you will find yourself going to the regular Slope of Hope page now, with the new site’s introduction coming up. I’ll be writing to you directly in about a week with some good news about your subscription; thanks, and good night.