Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Year the World Fell Down the Rabbit Hole

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I would like to personally thank Tim for the privilege of posting at SoH for another year. It has been an honor to occasionally write for you folks and be associated with this first class website. Happy new year. –Gary

Conspiracies and bias hurt investors

It’s no wonder so many people have been unable to attain proper market positioning in 2020. You invest with your heart, soul, fears or even sometimes your intellect and you risk blowing yourself up at worst, or missing out at best. For much of 2020 Twitter has been a forum for ‘influencers’ with tens of thousands of followers spewing dogma and influencing their herds alright. I watched it happen all year, in the Twitter machine and at other venues.

You know the perma-bearish or ‘got gold?’ types, issuing dire warnings and authoritative discussion of just how bad off the world is (well, it ain’t good, I grant them that). But it’s the practical reaction or lack thereof, not the news itself that matters.

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A Bigger Picture View of HUI

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As Huey pushes his cart of rocks out of the dark and up the hill…

In NFTRH we did a lot of work managing the oncoming correction, the valid reasons behind it (these reasons are beyond the scope of this post, but don’t listen to the perma-bulls, they were more than valid and readable in advance), the now nearly 5 month old correction (technically still intact) and more recently the improved risk vs. reward after HUI hit our long-standing ‘best’ target of 280 +/-.

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Three Metallic Amigos

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Metals Ratios Continue to Indicate Inflation

And that is welcome for monetary and fiscal policymakers of course, since inflation is the only trick they have up their sleeve to bail this mess out once again. And this is no comment on COVID-19. The economy was slowly decelerating last year well before this guy showed up (I like the picture, okay?)…

tyx

The yield curve bottomed and turned up in August of 2019 as manufacturing was slipping, long-term yields were tanking and other economic signals were fraying in the wake of the trade war. So please, no convenient COVID excuses.

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Gold Stock Correction is Maturing

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The last time I wrote a title like the above was on June 19th; and wouldn’t you know that the correction ended the very next trading day? The consolidation breakout on Monday, June 22 created the gap you will see as a downside objective on the daily chart of HUI below.

Gold Sector Correction is Maturing (6.19.20)

That was a routine correction as gold and the gold miners were still part of one big relief party as central banks flooded the markets with liquidity to meet the deflationary crisis of the virus-ridden spring.

This time as you can see gold has disconnected from the party (as, obviously, have gold stocks), which continues on its merry way. Some gold bugs may cry foul but what is actually going on is that the normal recipients of cyclical inflation are getting bid as the US dollar declines (inverse USD shown here, rises). If there is an accident along the way to the recovery (or at least the Banana Republic) we will be reminded yet again ‘why gold?’.

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Bitcoin: One Reason Why

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MarketWatch used to pick up my posts on rare occasion but has not done so for a long time. Maybe they think I make fun of some of their articles or something. I don’t know what would give them that idea. I actually find MarketWatch useful in ironic and non-ironic ways.

But anyway, this morning an article tags along with the recent near-deafening Bitcoin noise…

6 reasons bitcoin is trading at its highest level since 2017 — and 1 warning

6 reasons are given for Bitcoin’s re-found popularity. They are the usual pap, including a Dollar/Gold rationalization.

“Bitcoin as a form of digital gold is also seeing its time in the sun as we see the floodgates open on monetary policy. Closing the sluice gate is more difficult than opening it,” Charles Hayter, founder and CEO of CryptoCompare, a company engaged in bitcoin data and analytics, told MarketWatch.

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