The future is now for Strategic and critical commodities at the heart of the current global macro alignment

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[edit] Today’s better than expected Payrolls number is just a number. Real? Cooked up? To be revised? Whatever it is, it is in alignment with the article below, written before the data release. It’s a boom, after all!
At more than $36 trillion and due to be pushed toward $40 trillion by the big, beautiful debt bill, the United States is booming baby, booming! Great again, beautiful and will you look at those stock markets, ticking new highs!

Easy now, a Crack-Up-Boom is when credit (along with its evil twin, debt) runs amok. As a whole, our system creates credit and shoves it out into the economy. See The U.S. is Not a Capitalist Country for more on our debt-for-growth addiction in the age of Inflation onDemand, kicked off by Sir Alan the Monetary a quarter century ago.
(more…)The distinction between the United States of America’s version of ‘green’ Socialism and what is traditionally known and reviled as ‘red’ Socialism is that the recipients of the welfare are wealthy asset owners/investors. You see, it’s okay when Socialism serves the ruling and majority classes.
You own a home that has appreciated in value to bubble proportions? You’re an asset owner and your asset has been inflated in perceived value, compliments of the Federal Reserve system. My wife and I sold our bubble asset a year ago at what I believe was the top of the market. I guess you’d call that bubble “Capitalism”.
(more…)You could call them “inflation trades”, but the post-2021 phase and its heavy inflationary effects * saw commodities generally trend downward as hawkish Fed policy ** supported the US dollar.
So I came up with a new and more accurate way to describe a widespread commodity bull phase; the Silver/Gold ratio trades. When silver leads gold the indication is that cyclical markets, pumped as they were through the magic of inflationary policy, are still okay.
(more…)Below I present for you one of those charts trying to say so much it could make your eyes water and your head spin. The chart is trying to quantify the history of loosely related markets (gold, silver, broad commodities and even the Canadian TSX-V index).
The reason we are doing this work is not to be bullish on the gold price, which we have been since the monetary metal took out the bull gateway (1378) in 2019. It is not to be bullish on silver, which is and has been bullish (in a lagging manner to gold) since its pattern breakout a year ago.
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