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Price on the following GDX Monthly chart is currently being squeezed in between major resistance of a 23.6% Fib retracement level and a recent breakout above a long-term downtrend line.
We’ll see if it continues to rally — maybe to 30.00 or even 33.00 — but there is a lot of overhead price supply, so that could be quite a long shot. I’d like to see Money Flow firm up on any further advancement, as that indicator is currently in downtrend on this longer timeframe.
Price on three top Insurance ETFs has been dropping since mid-August, as shown on the following Daily charts of IAK, KBWP and KIE. In the process, they made some extreme lower swing lows on each of their respective three technical indicators, suggesting that further weakness lies ahead.
As of Friday’s close, they are trading around their 200-day moving averages, so failure to regain an upward bias from that level could spell further sharp drops for these ETFs. Watch for any major volume spikes on further weakness to indicate possible panic selling. In the short term, we may, first, see a retest of their 50-day moving average (possible “Dead Cat Bounce”) before the next leg down occurs. (more…)
I last wrote about the Financial ETF (XLF) on July 11th.
Since then, it failed to hold a brief breakout above the 25.00 major resistance level (convergence of 40% Fib retracement and upper channel), as shown on the following Monthly chart.
Price is sitting at the bottom of the upper quarter of a long-term uptrending channel…a segment that it hasn’t typically remained in for very long, or ventured above, since it began its long ascent from its 2009 lows after the financial crisis. (more…)
The Technology ETF (XLK) is close to forming a “SELL” signal. Two of the three technical indicators on the Daily chart below have done so, as of Friday’s close, while the RSI threatens to join the MACD and PMO if it crosses below the 50 level. Price action this week, following its all-time high made last Friday, has been overly bearish.
Watch for a potential retest of the 50-day moving average around 57.00, or lower to, even, the 200 MA around 53.00, on signs of escalating weakness.
Russia is the big gainer, so far, today, as shown on the following Heat Map of the World Stock Markets.
The Russian Index has broken above its long-term apex around 1080, but is still below its downtrend line, as shown on the Monthly chart below…we’ll see if it holds in the days/weeks ahead. (more…)
