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See for yourself…
The following Year-To-Date percentage gained/lost graphs of World Markets are presented without individual comment. A general observation is that money has begun to flow into non-U.S. markets. I’d also add that fund managers will likely be looking to top up their accounts for January’s month-end…as such, we may not see new trends emerge until February.
Further to my recent posts here and here, the EUR/USD Forex pair has reached a potential (double Fibonacci) support level between 1.1205 and 1.13, as shown on the following Weekly chart. A possible bounce is in store for the Euro.
Failure to begin stabilizing at this level and reclaim the major resistance level between 1.19 and 1.2125 (seen pre- and post-2007/08 financial crisis) could send the Euro plunging down to the 2000 lows of 0.8227. I can’t imgine that’s what Mr. Draghi has in mind with his ECB QE policy announcment earlier today…although stranger things have happened.
USD hit major price and double-Fibonacci resistance at 93.00, as shown on the following Weekly chart. A break and hold above that level could prove “interesting” for other world currencies (Euro, Canadian $, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, etc.)…(at the time of writing this post, the Canadian $ is -1.83 at 80.77).
Volatility in currencies has certainly been the norm, of late.
In my post of December 16, 2014, I stated:
” It may be that we will see larger volatility ensue in currencies, before they play out to any great extent (or near-term trends become very clear) in world indices.”
The RSI, MACD and Stochastics indicators on the following Daily ratio chart below of the SPX vs Swiss Franc ($SPX:$XSF) were forecasting a weakening of the SPX compared to the XSF from last November.
The two charts below of the percentage of stocks above their 50 and 200 day moving averages, respectively, show that they are flirting with major support (at the 35 level and the 60 level, respectively). A drop and hold below those levels could see these percentages free-fall for awhile down to their 3-year lows, or lower.
