Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Russell’s Recovery

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It’s a real shame what happened to the Russell 200 chart today. After a terribly encouraging break in a vitally-important wedge (see green tint), the index fell as it should, then it started to recover. The recovery was terribly strong – – so strong, in fact, that it got back ABOVE the broken support line and challenged the lifetime high (see magenta tint). I’m afraid there’s pretty much no hope at this point for the bears. Game over. (more…)

Hammer Time

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After the hard break down through the weekly middle bollinger band on SPX on Monday, a series of lower downside targets opened up and I spent some time assessing the relative merits of those. However on a weekly candlestick, as with all candlesticks, the most important data points are the open and the close, and last week’s candle closed on Friday in the green, and back above the weekly middle band, delivering a very nice looking bullish white hammer candle. All of the action under the weekly middle band was therefore intraweek and on a weekly closing basis the middle band held as support. That bullish candle is a bottoming/reversing candlestick, albeit one that needs confirmation the following week. SPX weekly chart: (more…)