Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Grandad Revisited

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A few days ago, I did a post called Old Grandad which related the tale of a young man who took his entire $1.2 million inheritance, shoved it into the “sure thing” of March 21 $40 calls on DJT, and promptly lost $500,000.

In the bizarre video he did, which was sort of a financial sadomasochism kink-fest, he was crying that the options had crumbled in value to about $5.05. People BEGGED him to take his losses and be done with it, but he steadfastly refused.

Well, I just looked, and that $5.05 would look awfully good right now. The current bid on the option is $1.45, less than a third of its value during the freak-out video. In other words, his $500,000 loss has blossomed to over $1,000,000. Notice how much bigger the open interest is than the other strikes? Yeah, that’s him.

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Just One to Go

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I made three specific predictions about the DOGE effort:

  • ONE: They would never find any meaningful “savings“, and in fact the federal budget would probably go UP as opposed to the $2 trillion they “pledged” to save
  • TWO: There could only be one leader, so Vivek would ditch the effort
  • THREE: Before April 2025 was over, Elon would be bored and tired of it and leave as well.

As of today, numbers ONE and TWO have already been achieved. Number THREE is coming, and I gave it a deliberately generous deadline. I wouldn’t be surprised if he blew the whole thing off within the next eight weeks. As with every other cynical prediction I’ve laid out about this new era……….you’ll see.