Prologue
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Metaphors and analogies are how I tend to make sense of the world, and a new one occurred to me today between two unlikely situations: the purchase of my company in 2005 and the price of Bitcoin, show below (with an arrow marking the Presidential election).

Watching the Trump coin (available on SlopeCharts under the easy to remember ticker $TRUMP) is fascinating. I’m not sure if this thing is kind of like a popularity poll or, like Bitcoin, a proxy for the general risk on/risk off zeitgeist. It blasted from pennies to almost $80 in a few days, and since then has withered away to less than a third of its peak. I pretty much is guaranteed to be worth $0 by January 20, 2029, but I truly wonder what spasmodic actions are going to take place in between.

In my last post on Thursday last week I was, among other things, looking at a sharply upsloping H&S on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) that had broken down with a target in the 92,000 area, though I was expecting that H&S to reject back up into the highs, and over last weekend Bitcoin broke down into a low at 97.7k.
On the face of it that was looking promising for the H&S to reach target but in my premarket video on Monday I put the case against that, on the basis that so far at least, this was looking like a backtest of the daily middle band as part of a bullish consolidation. In my premarket video on Tuesday I had drawn in the obvious bull flag setups on both Bitcoin and Solana (SOLUSD).
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