Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

One Hard U-Turn

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Monday morning started off really rough.

I woke up at about 4 a.m., and the last I had seen of the markets, the /ES, /NQ, and /CL were all red. I didn’t look at my iPad, but I figured that, on the heels of the big rally on Friday, maybe we’d get a day when the good guys would win.

Well, I got into my home office and saw every single stock and futures market was bright green. There was chatter about Trump reneging on another campaign promise (tariffs) which was goosing markets higher. I also had the gloom of losing Coda still hanging over me, which has affected me FAR more than any human death in my life, including my parents.

And then, just to turn things from bad to awful, this email was waiting for me in my inbox.

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2025 Begins……

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Our plans are well in motion for a stock market top and important changes to the macro

This article attempts to put clearer words and images to the many words I expended in my interview with Jordan on Monday discussing the macro (and the precious metals).

For virtually all of 2024 NFTRH has been on a plan that saw two things in the stock market…

  1. Bullish and
  2. High risk due multiple indications of a coming top

Risk indicators have generally been of two kinds; signs of extreme complacency and confidence, and analogs of past conditions that extrapolate to a bearish outcome. Frankly, it has been a bit of a trick remaining bullish with the market’s trends and ongoing momentum, while being aware of the risk profile. But that is our job at NFTRH; to be on the right side of the markets, bias be damned. The right side in 2024 was the bullish side.

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Million Dollar View

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Only four days ago, I thought I was within hours, if not minutes, of losing Coda. For newer readers, that name refers to one of the seven dogs I’ve had in my adult life, and she’s particularly precious to me.

She is about twelve years old or so (we really don’t know, but let’s say plus or minus a year) and, due to a tumor near her heart, she isn’t going to be with us much longer. The past one hundred hours is a hundred hours I never thought I’d get, so I am grateful for them.

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Best of 2024 (9 of 9)

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This weekend, we’re going to look at the very best posts from the thousands created in 2024. Click on any link to read the post in a new tab:

Best of 2024 (8 of 9)

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This weekend, we’re going to look at the very best posts from the thousands created in 2024. Right-click on any link to read the post in a new tab: