I saw an offhanded comment from TNR about shorting copper. I hadn’t looked at /HG in ages, but I am inclined to agree!

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I saw an offhanded comment from TNR about shorting copper. I hadn’t looked at /HG in ages, but I am inclined to agree!

Reference 2022: The Golden Year as published on December 30th, 2021.
It’s been touch and go all year but the gold price could be shaking out in support of the admittedly sensational title of that article. Let’s take a checkup, starting with a paragraph from the year ago article.
Pardon the promotional sound of the title. I realize it, and I’m putting it up there anyway. There is a time for temperance and there is a time for promotion. Too many in the gold sphere forget about that first thing when risk is high, and in August, 2020 it was at nosebleed levels.
(more…)
If you have tuned out inflationist gold bugs since mid-2020 you are now in position to capitalize, unlike scores of inflation bugs who’d already bought (and likely sold into tax loss season, 2022).
Readers of nftrh.com have seen this space write many times how gold is not about inflation. At least not primarily. That compounds with the gold miners, which leverage gold’s standing within the inflated (and periodically deflated) macro. The gold mining sector is not about inflation. As in 2003-2008 the gold miners can rise during an inflationary phase, but as in Q4, 2008 they would then be summarily executed due to poor accumulated fundamentals.
(more…)Note: This post was begun on December 1, up to and including the two HUI charts below. The post was completed on December 2, after the November payrolls provided a good instigation for a broad market pullback, which included a ding to the miners from this logical resistance point.
December 1
The HUI rally has hit the logical resistance target where the 200 day moving average meets clear lateral resistance. It has done so in a not particularly overbought fashion due to the chop and grind it took to get here off the lows of the shaded bottoming pattern that we established and tracked in NFTRH over the last several weeks.
(more…)Precious metals reached escape velocity, fueled by the crumbling US dollar; that arrow marks, in my opinion, the highest target for GLD right now.
