Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Feeling the Bear

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The “feel” of the market has absolutely changed. For 2026 as a whole, the sensation of fighting the beast has dissipated, and my disposition has morphed from defensive to opportunistic. I will have more to say later, but for the moment I’ll simply offer two thoughts:

First, the prospect of a truly meaningful breakdown is looking clearer than ever……….

/ES futures with key trading range
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March Forth!

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Good morning, everyone, from the inky black of Palo Alto’s pre-dawn. I’m relieved to see so much green on the screen, not that I’m long anything (except for Rivian) but because I’m so light. I was rather troubled last night when I saw the market plunging again and figured I’d be kicking myself for selling off 70% of my DIA puts already, just as one example.

I will say, though, that looking at the volatility chart for 2026, it seems we’re in an environment of higher highs and higher lows, not the end of the dynamism.

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That Thick Red Line

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As grinding as recent weeks have been, we at least can see a very plain line has been drawn along the median between the sellers and buyers. The new about the tariffs being zapped was supposed to be a mega-bullish event, but with the /ES up 0.73% and the /RTY up 0.04%, it isn’t exactly one for the history books. I suspect next week is going to be chiefly about one thing: NVDA’s earnings on Wednesday. In the meanwhile, the line in the sand have been plainly drawn for next week.