Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Day’s End

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Well, in spite of a lot of trades, I ended the day up with no change. And I mean it. Sometimes when folks say "no change", it simply means "a loss I can tolerate." But I'm serious. Zero change.

I did lighten up to some degree. I've gone from nearly 280 positions at the peak down to a mere 190 shorts right now, and – – still – – one long (FXE). I went through my charts as quickly as I could to trim out those I felt had a lot of "meat" on them and too much risk to hold onto. I've kind of had my fill this year of watching fat profits disappear in the face of rallies. That gets really, really old the third time you've gone through it.

I actually would have ended the day with a pretty OK profit were if not for meddling around with GLD. I went in and out of that sucker – both long and short – with nothing but losses to show for it. The lion's share of the loss was the fact that I entered today very short, and we gapped higher. I have no position in GLD right now (or GDX, for that matter).

I'm about 114% committed at this point, and about 20% of that is the FXE long. Tomorrow morning should be interesting, particularly with the retail sales report (RTH is the only big short position I have right now). Considering what a dynamite day I had yesterday, I'm fine with a flat day as a follow-up. All the same, seeing the QQQQ down 0.79% on the day and showing no profits on my almost-all-short portfolio is a disappointment.

RTH Deep in WTF Territory

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In spite of the market's ferocious rise, I've been spared pretty much all snark for many, many weeks – – until today. I just got this from a former snarker in an email:

so it looks like we hit 1200 like i called for many months ago. u say no air to 1200. yup. your followers all laughed at my 1200 call. katzo the clown. resident know it all market sniper. and other spares. 1300 next shamwoow. i need to write a book and start a fund. any knucklehead can do it. snark that. play both sides and ur never wrong. . see ya at 1300 spx. are re voir and say la ve

Stinks when the assholes are right, doesn't it?

Anyway, I avoid RTH sort of like I avoid grasping hot frying pans, but I still look at it every day. Ridiculous:

Capture d’écran 2010-04-23 à 16.35.32