I’d like to talk about the events surrounding this chart in some detail:

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No, no, this isn’t about my state of mind. There’s a limit to how much I’m going to turn this website into a lifelong therapy session. I am referring to the depressed state of the VIX. I am seriously stunned just how low this thing is going. As of this composition (within the trading day on Tuesday) we have matched the levels last seen in mid-2021, which was two years ago.

There are a lot of complex questions relating to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) that will go unanswered for years. Following the banks’ fall from grace, and causing perhaps one of the most frantic banking crises since 2008, investors and depositors, and even government committees remain puzzled over the legitimacy of America’s banking system and the future risks that could be bubbling underneath the surface.
Considering how these events unfolded over several months, which was a culmination of poor risk management, inadequate regulation, bulging interest rates over the last two years, and liquidity issues; novice investors could learn from these failures alongside their more seasoned peers.
(more…)“Sell in May and go away,” my ass.
To be honest, it should have been crystal clear when I got the special “Interim Bulletin” from the boys in Gainesville two days ago. Any time the market really seems like it’s totally done and will enter a free-fall, they send out one of these things. It only happens once or twice a year, but I don’t think any of them have ever preceded anything except another rally.

So what has transpired in the two days since then was predictable……….
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