Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
How the Game is Played (by RSOTC)
In the perpetual cycle of the masses buying toward market tops and
capitulating toward market bottoms, I often think of the old Wall Street
adage; “It’s always darkest before the dawn” which refers to the fact
that market bottoms come when the news regarding the fundamentals and
the outlook for the markets and economy is horrible yet the
deterioration looks almost certain to continue going forward. I’m sure
there is a good corollary to that statement out there somewhere which
essentially says that things are looking great at a market top and just
about all forecasts and trends point to things only getting better from
there… or something along those lines. With that, I leave you with
these two Google searches using the same keywords, the first one limited
to headlines over the last month and the next one limited to headlines
over the month preceding the market top on May 2, 2011, just before the 5
month & nearly 22% plunge in the index.
No Picnic Basket Needed (by Mark St.Cyr)
This week was a strange week for anyone that just started opening
their 401K statements again. For those that are new or been trading for a
few years, this week certainly holds up to what must seem as a “once in
a blue moon” event.
Imagine what this week must be like when seen through the eyes of a
16-year-old day trader that’s accustomed to racking up over 30%
annualized returns. Obviously something must be wrong. If not how else
can the markets go down 2 days in a row? I mean – “OMG!”
Of course I’m being sarcastic yet – not by much.
Ding Ding Ding?
Behold the beauty of this title:
Investors Most Optimistic on Stocks in 3-1/2 Years in Poll
As I was reviewing this morning’s news items the above headline stuck out like a sore thumb.
A little stroll down memory lane:
In May of 2012 NFTRH 188 used this graph among other indicators to get bullish on a risk vs. reward basis, stating “and then there is this beauty… the dumb money has lurched hard to ‘risk off’.
Smart/Dumb money confidence, May, 2012
