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As I was charting long-term Treasury yields in NFTRH 241, I ran a chart of the ratio between the banks and the S&P 500 and what do you know? The ratio had broken out to the upside right along with long-term interest rates. ‘Hmmm…’ said I, ‘maybe this is relevant to the analysis.’ 😉
Excerpted from NFTRH 241: (more…)
It looks like the Fed will have to continue carrying the financial aspects of the economy for awhile due to softening manufacturing data released today. However, I haven’t seen any constructive bi-partisan fiscal policy emanate from Capital Hill that even attempts to support the Fed’s actions. Instead, they’ve been silent, uncooperative, and unproductive since the 2008/09 financial crisis. (more…)
It’s been a really good day for me so far, which is icing on the cake to the terrific Friday we had. One thing concerns me, though – – in the past, the traitorous Powers That Be have knocked down any bearish excitement any time we approach the trendline shown below. Any volatility spike gets tamped down, and subsequent spikes are smaller each time. For four years we’ve been wondering if “this time” is the start of something bigger, and every time the answer has been “nope.” (more…)
