(First off, to any American readers, I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving season gorgefest and good times with your families. You will need the energy as we all prepare for the coming onslaught of decorating, carols, and christmas shopping in the coming weeks!)
Now, as I’m sure all are aware, Thanksgiving week was a snoozer for movement. Despite that fact, market participation is strong across the board (with the exception of commodity-related equities which have been getting smacked around) and are not giving back any serious ground despite elevated levels. When these conditions persist, they tend to cause shallow, grinding moves in the indices. Moves like this can carry on for weeks or months.
Here is a chart of the VXV (3-month implied volatility) compared relative to the $VIX (1-month implied volatility). It creates a ratio with which we can measure what option players are anticipating for the coming month(s). Click to enlarge. (more…)