Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Watching for Upside in JCI, WBC & ROK

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Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI) has strong potential for significant upside as well as an excellent story of strong fiscal management and innovation. From a technical side there are two competitors of JCI’s that I also think have excellent chart setups:  WABCO Holdings Inc. (WBC) and Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK).

It is very interesting that while WBC and ROK are competitors in two different core areas of JCI’s business — auto parts vs. building automation, respectively — the two competitors have remarkably similar charts to each other, and also to that of JCI. All three have strong setups off the October 2014 lows for immediate upside, in addition to longer term bullishness.

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Key Inflection Point Here …. Again

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After an incredibly whippy day yesterday the close left a very strong bull setup on SPX. This may just be a bull trap but if so, it is a very thorough and well put together bull trap, and at the least I am impressed.

The pattern setup here is a falling megaphone from the last hit of range resistance in the 12064 SPX area, and that isn’t inherently bullish here as it has already broken up and retraced 50%. What does look bullish is the possible double bottom targeting the 2069 area on a sustained break over 2025. SPX 5min chart:

150203 SPX 5min Falling Megaphone and Poss DB

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Gold & US Banks; a Critical Juncture

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piggybankIt’s all about confidence, right? Right.

In 2011, when the commodity and ‘inflation’ trades blew out, the Federal Reserve was completely discredited, with gold bugs out front poking them in the eye with taunts of “Helicopter Ben”. Markets rebelled against the Fed by sending silver to $50 and commodities in general to an all-time high.

Today, we have come 180° as market participants the world over have been conditioned to revere policy made from on high. Herds being what they are, every utterance from the jawbones of these former buffoons is respected in the form of instantaneous market movement. It’s as if everyone believes the Fed is in total control.

One indicator that this confidence is coming unwound would be a breakdown in the banks. They are right at key… as in critical… as in bull market… support. Not surprisingly, gold has taken on an inverse stance to the Pigs. This should be interesting.

bkx.gold

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