I’ve been reading a lot of talk this morning about how there is no real chance that SPX will make any kind of high in the easily foreseeable future and that’s natural. This wave up from October 2011 has been so long and so powerful that it has left many with the strong impression that TA is valueless and that the only possible road to success is buying the dip and holding on at all costs. An extended wave 3 up will breed bullish complacency.
In all honesty that may well be the case for another two or three years, depending on the individual trader’s tolerance for pain, and over a timescale of decades the long side always wins through. However the current setup on equities looks VERY toppy, and the level of denial that I’ve been seeing from some quarters about this just beggars belief.

